MATCH OVERVIEW
Auxerre and Le Havre are gearing up for a significant Ligue 1 showdown at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps. This match, set for October 26, 2025, at 16:15, is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their positions in the league table. Auxerre, playing at home, will aim to leverage their familiarity with the venue, while Le Havre will look to maintain their competitive edge.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Auxerre, with a home win priced at 2.03. The odds for a draw stand at 3.41, while an away victory for Le Havre is at 3.35. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 49.3% for Auxerre to win, 29.3% for a draw, and 29.9% for Le Havre to secure a victory. Given these figures, Auxerre appears to be the favored team, but the close odds indicate a potentially tight contest.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Auxerre
Auxerre's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 0.71 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.43%. Their defense has been tested, conceding 1.43 goals per game, but they have shown resilience with 34.29 interceptions per match. Auxerre's offensive play is highlighted by 10.14 shots per game, though their conversion rate needs improvement.
Le Havre
Le Havre has been slightly more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.14 goals per match. Their possession rate of 47.43% and passing accuracy are commendable, with 353.57 successful passes per game. Defensively, they match Auxerre in conceding 1.43 goals per game but have a lower expected goals against at 0.98, indicating a potentially stronger defensive setup.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Auxerre
- Lassine Sinayoko: With 2 goals this season, Sinayoko is a key figure in Auxerre's attack.
- Francisco Sierralta: A defensive stalwart, contributing significantly to interceptions and clearances.
Le Havre
- Issa Soumaré: Leading the charge with 3 goals, Soumaré is crucial to Le Havre's offensive strategy.
- Rassoul Ndiaye: Another top performer with 3 goals, adding depth to their attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Auxerre averages 10.14 shots per game, while Le Havre slightly edges them with 10.43 shots.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams concede 1.43 goals per match, but Le Havre's expected goals against is lower at 0.98.
- Passing and Possession: Le Havre's passing accuracy is higher, with 353.57 successful passes compared to Auxerre's 302.57.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is likely to be closely contested. Auxerre's home advantage and Le Havre's slightly better form suggest a competitive game. Key factors will include Auxerre's ability to convert chances and Le Havre's defensive solidity. The final score prediction is a narrow 1-1 draw, with both teams expected to score and a high probability of over 2.5 goals.
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