MATCH OVERVIEW
Auxerre and Le Havre are gearing up for a significant clash in the Ligue 1, with both teams eager to secure vital points as the season progresses. This match, set to unfold at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, holds considerable importance for both sides, as they aim to improve their standings and make a strong push towards their seasonal objectives. Scheduled for May 4th, 2025, at 15:15, this encounter promises to deliver high-stakes action.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Auxerre slightly favored at 1.98, indicating a 50.5% probability of a home win. The odds for a draw stand at 3.56, translating to a 28.1% chance, while Le Havre's odds of 3.68 suggest a 27.2% probability of an away victory. These figures highlight the potential for a closely contested match, with Auxerre having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Auxerre
Auxerre's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 1.37 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.27%. Their offensive capabilities are underscored by a 60% over 2.5 goals percentage, while defensively, they concede an average of 1.5 goals per game. Auxerre's strengths lie in their dribbling and passing, with successful dribbles averaging 15.1 per match and successful passes at 303.13.
Le Havre
Le Havre, on the other hand, averages 1.1 goals per match and maintains a possession rate of 43.7%. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with an average of 2.13 goals conceded per game. Despite this, Le Havre's ability to engage in duels and successful dribbles, averaging 94.5 and 15.33 respectively, showcases their competitive edge.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Auxerre has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, often leveraging their home advantage. However, Le Havre's resilience and tactical adaptability make them a formidable opponent.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Auxerre
- Hamed Junior Traoré: With 10 goals this season, Traoré is a key offensive asset.
- Gaëtan Perrin: Contributing 8 goals, Perrin's attacking prowess is crucial.
Le Havre
- Abdoulaye Touré: Leading with 8 goals, Touré is pivotal in Le Havre's attack.
- Issa Soumaré: His 4 goals add depth to Le Havre's forward line.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Auxerre averages 10.93 shots per game, with 4.43 on target.
- Le Havre averages 9.2 shots, with 3.2 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Auxerre's average of 42.5 interceptions per game highlights their defensive alertness.
- Le Havre's 41.97 interceptions per match indicate a similar defensive focus.
Tactical Insights
Auxerre's tactical approach often involves leveraging their dribbling and passing strengths, while Le Havre focuses on duels and crosses to create opportunities.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Auxerre is slightly favored to win, given their home advantage and offensive capabilities. Key factors such as Traoré's goal-scoring form and Auxerre's dribbling proficiency could be decisive. However, Le Havre's resilience and Touré's attacking threat cannot be underestimated.
Final Score Prediction
Auxerre 2-1 Le Havre
Half Time Score Prediction
Auxerre 1-0 Le Havre
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 50.5%
- Away Win: 27.2%
- Draw: 28.1%
- Both Teams to Score: 53%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 60%