MATCH OVERVIEW
Saint-Étienne and Toulouse are set to face off in a pivotal Ligue 1 match that could have significant implications for their season standings. With Saint-Étienne playing at home, they will look to leverage their familiarity with the Stade Geoffroy-Guichard to gain an advantage over Toulouse. The match is scheduled for May 17th at 19:00, and both teams are expected to bring their best to the field.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Toulouse with a 1.93 chance of winning, reflecting their stronger form this season. Saint-Étienne, with odds of 3.8, will need to overcome the odds to secure a victory. The draw is priced at 3.92, indicating a competitive match where both teams have a fair chance of sharing the points.
- Home Win Probability: 26.3%
- Away Win Probability: 51.8%
- Draw Probability: 21.9%
Given these odds, Toulouse is expected to have the upper hand, but Saint-Étienne's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Saint-Étienne
Saint-Étienne has had a challenging season, averaging 1.09 goals per match while conceding 2.31. Their possession rate stands at 46%, indicating a need for improvement in controlling the game. Despite their struggles, players like Lucas Stassin, who scored 12 goals, have been key contributors.
Toulouse
Toulouse has shown better form, with an average of 1.25 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.25 goals on average. Their possession rate is slightly lower at 45.75%, but their offensive capabilities, led by Zakaria Aboukhlal with 7 goals, have been impressive.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Toulouse has had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could give them a psychological edge going into this match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Saint-Étienne
- Lucas Stassin: Top scorer with 12 goals, crucial for Saint-Étienne's attack.
- Zuriko Davitashvili: Contributed 9 goals, adding depth to the offensive lineup.
Toulouse
- Zakaria Aboukhlal: Leading scorer with 7 goals, pivotal in Toulouse's attacking strategy.
- Logan Costa: Defensive stalwart, contributing significantly to Toulouse's solid backline.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Saint-Étienne: Average 9.94 shots per game, with 3.44 on target.
- Toulouse: Slightly better with 10.53 shots per game, 4.41 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Saint-Étienne: Concede 2.31 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
- Toulouse: Concede 1.25 goals per game, showcasing a more robust defense.
Possession and Passing
- Saint-Étienne: 434.13 passes per game, with a success rate of 365.53.
- Toulouse: 397.34 passes per game, with a success rate of 326.22.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Toulouse is likely to emerge victorious, given their superior form and statistical advantages. However, Saint-Étienne's home advantage and key players could make the match competitive.
- Potential Match-Winning Factors: Toulouse's strong defense and effective attack.
- Final Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of Toulouse.
- Half Time Score Prediction: 0-1 in favor of Toulouse.
In conclusion, while Toulouse is favored to win, Saint-Étienne's resilience and home support could lead to an exciting and closely contested match.