MATCH OVERVIEW
Annecy and Bastia are gearing up for an exciting Ligue 2 match at the Parc des Sports. This fixture is crucial for both teams as they seek to climb the league table. Annecy, with their home advantage, will be eager to secure a win, while Bastia will aim to disrupt their plans and snatch points away from home. The match is set to kick off at 19:00 on November 21, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle. Annecy is slightly favored with odds of 2.36, indicating a 42.37% probability of winning. The draw is priced at 2.88, translating to a 34.72% chance, while Bastia's odds of 3.06 reflect a 32.68% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Annecy is expected to have a slight edge, but the possibility of a draw remains significant.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Annecy has played 14 matches this season, showing a balanced performance with a 42.86% rate of matches ending with over 2.5 goals. Their possession stands at 44.79%, and they average 1.14 goals per game. Defensively, they concede 1.14 goals per match, indicating a need for improvement at the back.
Bastia, on the other hand, has played 13 matches, with a lower over 2.5 goals percentage of 23.08%. They maintain a higher possession rate of 53.92% but struggle offensively, averaging only 0.46 goals per game. Their defense concedes 1.31 goals per match, slightly higher than Annecy.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Annecy's Thibault Rambaud and Josué Tiendrébéogo have each scored 3 goals this season, making them key players to watch. Bastia's Amine Boutrah, with 2 goals, will be crucial in their attacking efforts. The midfield battle between Annecy's Vincent Pajot and Bastia's Juan Guevara could be pivotal in determining the match's outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Annecy's offensive metrics show an average of 7.57 shots per game, with 3.14 on target. Their expected goals stand at 0.88, indicating room for improvement in finishing. Bastia averages 11.15 shots per game, with 3.08 on target, and an expected goals of 0.98, suggesting they create more chances but struggle to convert.
Defensively, Annecy averages 39.43 interceptions and 8 clearances per game, while Bastia records 33.38 interceptions and 6.85 clearances. Annecy's defensive rating is slightly higher, which could give them an edge in preventing Bastia's attacks.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Annecy is slightly favored to win, but Bastia's higher possession and shot metrics could pose a threat. Key factors will include Annecy's ability to capitalize on home advantage and Bastia's efficiency in converting chances. The match is likely to be closely contested, with Annecy edging out Bastia in a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: Annecy 2-1 Bastia
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