MATCH OVERVIEW
Energie Cottbus will host Ingolstadt in a pivotal 3. Liga match that could have significant implications for both teams' aspirations this season. As the season draws to a close, every point is crucial, and this fixture at the Stadion der Freundschaft is no exception. With the home team looking to capitalize on their strong form and Ingolstadt aiming to upset the odds, the stakes are high.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a favorable outcome for Energie Cottbus, with a home win priced at 1.65, indicating a 60.6% probability. The draw is less likely at 4.29 (23.3%), while an away win for Ingolstadt is priced at 4.38 (22.8%). These odds reflect Cottbus's strong home performance and Ingolstadt's challenge in overcoming them.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Energie Cottbus has been consistent this season, with an average of 1.7 goals per match and a possession rate of 51.3%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 14.27 shots per game and 1.82 expected goals. Defensively, they concede 1.35 goals on average, supported by 43.84 interceptions per match.
In contrast, Ingolstadt boasts a slightly higher goal average of 1.83, but their possession is lower at 47.5%. They have a strong offensive presence with 13.14 shots per game and 1.45 expected goals. However, their defense is more vulnerable, conceding 1.64 goals per match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Tolcay Cigerci and Timmy Thiele are key figures for Energie Cottbus, each scoring 15 goals this season. Their performance will be crucial in breaking down Ingolstadt's defense. For Ingolstadt, Sebastian Grönning leads the attack with 16 goals, supported by Pascal Testroet and Benjamin Kanuric, each contributing 8 goals.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Energie Cottbus excels in duels, averaging 207.27 per match, and their successful passes rate is impressive at 344.84. Ingolstadt, while strong in duels with 194.86, falls short in successful passes at 293.75. Cottbus's defensive metrics, including 6.62 clearances and 3.73 blocked shots, give them a slight edge over Ingolstadt.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and current form, Energie Cottbus is likely to secure a victory. Their superior possession and defensive solidity could be decisive factors. Ingolstadt's attacking prowess will test Cottbus, but the home team's balanced approach should prevail.
Final Score Prediction: Energie Cottbus 2-1 Ingolstadt Half Time Score Prediction: Energie Cottbus 1-0 Ingolstadt Both Teams to Score Probability: 65% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 58%