MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming 3. Liga match between Havelse and Ulm is set to be a captivating contest, with both teams eager to secure vital points. Havelse, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Ulm, with their strong form, will look to continue their impressive run. This match is crucial as both teams are in the middle of the season, where every point can influence their standings and future prospects.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Ulm slightly favored to win. The average odds are 3.4 for Havelse, 3.6 for a draw, and 1.95 for Ulm. This translates to a probability of approximately 29.4% for Havelse to win, 27.8% for a draw, and 51.3% for Ulm to secure victory. Given these odds, Ulm is expected to have the upper hand, but Havelse's home advantage could play a pivotal role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Havelse
Havelse has had a mixed season, with an average of 13 matches played. They have a decent scoring record, with an average of 1.15 goals per game, but their defense has been a concern, conceding 2.38 goals on average. Their possession rate is relatively low at 42.92%, indicating a potential struggle to control the game against Ulm.
Ulm
Ulm has been impressive this season, with a higher average possession of 49.91% and a better goal-scoring rate of 1.64 goals per game. Their defense is slightly more robust, conceding 2 goals on average. Ulm's ability to maintain possession and create scoring opportunities could be decisive in this match.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Havelse
- John Posselt: With 5 goals this season, Posselt is Havelse's top scorer and will be crucial in breaking Ulm's defense.
- Tom Opitz: Leading in points, Opitz's performance will be vital in midfield.
Ulm
- Dominik Martinovic: A standout performer with 284.49 points, Martinovic's influence in attack will be key.
- Elias Löder: With 4 goals, Löder is a significant threat in front of goal.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Havelse: Average shots per game stand at 12.38, with 3.69 on target. Their expected goals are 1.16, indicating potential underperformance.
- Ulm: Slightly better with 12.45 shots per game and 4.09 on target. Their expected goals are 1.75, showcasing a more efficient attack.
Possession and Passing
- Havelse: Average passes of 326.15 with a success rate of 242.38.
- Ulm: Superior passing with 391.55 average passes and 314.36 successful, highlighting their control in midfield.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Ulm is likely to emerge victorious, given their superior possession, passing, and goal-scoring capabilities. Havelse's home advantage and key players like John Posselt could influence the outcome, but Ulm's form suggests they will have the edge.
Final Score Prediction: Ulm 2-1 Havelse Half Time Score Prediction: Ulm 1-0 Havelse Probability for Both Teams to Score: 80% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 85%
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