MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming 3. Liga match between MSV Duisburg and Alemannia Aachen is set to be a captivating contest. With both teams having played 14 matches this season, they are eager to secure a win to boost their standings. Duisburg, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their strong offensive form, while Aachen will look to improve their defensive resilience.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for MSV Duisburg, with odds of 1.95 for a home win, 3.6 for a draw, and 3.4 for an away win. This translates to a probability of approximately 51.3% for Duisburg to win, 27.8% for a draw, and 29.4% for Aachen to claim victory. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Duisburg favored to emerge victorious.
TEAM ANALYSIS
MSV Duisburg
- Current Form: Duisburg has shown strong offensive capabilities, averaging 1.86 goals per match and a high over 2.5 goals percentage of 71.43%.
- Strengths: Their attacking prowess is evident with 13.14 shots per game and 5.07 on target.
- Weaknesses: Possession remains moderate at 47.29%, which could be improved to control the game better.
Alemannia Aachen
- Current Form: Aachen has a slightly lower goal average of 1.71 but compensates with a higher successful dribble rate.
- Strengths: Their ability to win duels (95.29 successful duels) and intercept (43.57) is notable.
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.64 goals per match indicates defensive vulnerabilities.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their share of victories. Duisburg's home advantage could play a crucial role.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
MSV Duisburg
- Patrick Sussek: With 5 goals this season, Sussek is a key offensive player.
- Joshua Bitter: His defensive contributions are vital, with 141.73 points.
Alemannia Aachen
- Lars Gindorf: Leading the scoring charts with 12 goals, Gindorf is a significant threat.
- Mika Schroers: His 6 goals add depth to Aachen's attacking options.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Duisburg averages 1.86 goals and 13.14 shots per game, while Aachen averages 1.71 goals and 12.43 shots.
- Defensive Metrics: Duisburg concedes 1 goal per match, whereas Aachen concedes 1.64.
- Possession and Passing: Duisburg's possession is slightly higher, but Aachen's successful dribbles and duels could counteract this.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, MSV Duisburg is likely to win, leveraging their home advantage and superior offensive statistics. Key factors include their ability to score and maintain pressure on Aachen's defense. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of Duisburg, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 71.43%, and the match could see over 2.5 goals, given Duisburg's high percentage in this metric.
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