Match Overview
The upcoming clash between Rot-Weiss Essen and Hansa Rostock in the 3. Liga is set to be a pivotal match in the current season. With both teams looking to climb the league table, this encounter at Stadion Essen is crucial for their aspirations.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Rot-Weiss Essen having a slight edge at 2.43, while Hansa Rostock is at 2.8. The draw is priced at 3.35, indicating a balanced probability for all outcomes.
- Home Win Probability: 41.15%
- Away Win Probability: 35.71%
- Draw Probability: 29.85%
Team Analysis
Rot-Weiss Essen
Rot-Weiss Essen has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.3 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.53%. Their offensive play is supported by 14.17 shots per game, but they need to improve their defensive solidity, having conceded 1.5 goals on average.
Hansa Rostock
Hansa Rostock boasts a slightly better possession rate at 50.24% and averages 1.38 goals per match. Their defense is relatively stronger, conceding 1.21 goals per game, which could be a decisive factor in this match.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Historically, these teams have had competitive encounters, with neither side dominating the other. This match is expected to follow a similar pattern, with both teams having equal chances to secure a win.
Tactical Approaches
Rot-Weiss Essen may focus on exploiting their dribbling skills, averaging 23.03 dribbles per match, while Hansa Rostock could leverage their passing accuracy, with 297.21 successful passes per game.
Key Players Spotlight
Rot-Weiss Essen
- Ahmet Arslan: With 9 goals this season, Arslan is a key figure in Essen's attack.
- Lucas Brumme: Contributing 4 goals, Brumme's performance will be crucial.
Hansa Rostock
- Sigurd Haugen: Leading the scoring charts with 8 goals, Haugen is vital for Rostock's offensive play.
- Ryan Naderi: With 5 goals, Naderi adds depth to Rostock's attacking options.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Rot-Weiss Essen averages 1.57 expected goals, while Hansa Rostock is slightly lower at 1.43.
- Defensive Metrics: Hansa Rostock's expected goals against is 1.25, showcasing their defensive strength compared to Essen's 1.52.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, this match is likely to be closely contested, with both teams having the potential to score. Rot-Weiss Essen's home advantage and slightly better odds may give them the edge.
- Potential Match-Winning Factors: Home advantage, key player performances, and tactical execution.
- Final Score Prediction: 2-1 in favor of Rot-Weiss Essen.