Match Overview
Hamburger SV and Ulm face off in a pivotal Bundesliga 2 match that could shape the final standings. With Hamburger SV in the hunt for promotion, every point is crucial. Ulm, on the other hand, is fighting to climb the table and avoid relegation threats. The Volksparkstadion will be the stage for this exciting clash, with kick-off set for 18:30.
Odds Analysis
The odds heavily favor Hamburger SV with a 1.39 chance of winning, translating to a 71.9% probability. The draw is priced at 4.77, giving it a 21% chance, while Ulm's odds of 6.53 suggest a mere 15.3% probability of victory. Given these odds, Hamburger SV is expected to dominate, but Ulm's potential for an upset cannot be entirely dismissed.
Team Analysis
Hamburger SV
- Current Form: Strong, with consistent performances throughout the season.
- Strengths: High goal-scoring ability (2.19 goals per match), strong possession (54.94%), and effective passing (407.66 successful passes per match).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to counter-attacks, with 1.25 goals conceded per match.
Ulm
- Current Form: Struggling, with inconsistent results.
- Strengths: Solid defensive structure, with 1.25 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Lack of offensive firepower, averaging only 1.03 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Hamburger SV and Ulm have limited recent encounters, making this match an intriguing tactical battle.
Tactical Approaches
Hamburger SV is likely to adopt an attacking approach, leveraging their superior offensive stats. Ulm may focus on a defensive setup, aiming to exploit counter-attacking opportunities.
Key Players Spotlight
Hamburger SV
- Davie Selke: Top scorer with 21 goals, crucial for HSV's attacking play.
- Jean-Luc Dompé: Creative force with 8 goals, providing key assists.
Ulm
- Semir Telalovic: Leading scorer with 11 goals, pivotal for Ulm's attack.
- Philipp Strompf: Defensive stalwart, essential for Ulm's backline.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Hamburger SV: 13.72 shots per match, 5.75 on target.
- Ulm: 11.28 shots per match, 3.88 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Hamburger SV: 40.44 interceptions per match.
- Ulm: 43.06 interceptions per match.
Possession and Passing
- Hamburger SV: 54.94% possession, 474.53 passes per match.
- Ulm: 46.53% possession, 344.88 passes per match.
Prediction and Conclusion
Hamburger SV is expected to control the match, given their superior offensive and possession stats. Key factors include Davie Selke's goal-scoring prowess and Ulm's defensive resilience. A high-scoring game is likely, with both teams having a 65.63% and 56.25% chance of scoring, respectively.
Final Score Prediction
Hamburger SV 3-1 Ulm
Half-Time Score Prediction
Hamburger SV 1-0 Ulm
Match-Winning Factors
- Hamburger SV's Attack: Led by Selke, their ability to convert chances will be crucial.
- Ulm's Defense: Must withstand HSV's pressure to have any chance of securing points.
In summary, Hamburger SV's attacking strength and home advantage make them favorites, but Ulm's defensive capabilities could lead to a closer contest than expected.