MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Bundesliga 2 match between Ulm and Hannover 96 is set to be a pivotal fixture in the league's calendar. With Ulm playing at home, they will be looking to leverage their familiarity with the venue to secure a win against a formidable Hannover 96 side. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Hannover 96 slightly favored to win at odds of 2.43 compared to Ulm's 2.78. The draw is priced at 3.34, indicating a competitive match where both teams have a fair chance of securing points. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 36% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 41% for an away win.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Ulm
Ulm's season has been characterized by a solid defensive setup, conceding an average of 1.23 goals per match. Their offensive output, however, has been modest, with an average of 1.03 goals per game. Key strengths include their dueling ability, with an average of 211.74 duels per match, and their defensive resilience, highlighted by a CompaScore Defensive Rating of 358.72.
Hannover 96
Hannover 96 boasts a slightly better offensive record, averaging 1.19 goals per match, and their Expected Goals (xG) of 1.63 suggests they create more scoring opportunities. Their possession rate of 49.68% indicates a team comfortable with controlling the game, and their CompaScore Offensive Rating of 516.14 underscores their attacking prowess.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Hannover 96 has had the upper hand in encounters with Ulm, often leveraging their superior attacking capabilities. However, Ulm's home advantage could play a significant role in leveling the playing field.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Ulm
- Semir Telalovic: With 10 goals this season, Telalovic is Ulm's primary attacking threat.
- Philipp Strompf: A key figure in defense, Strompf's performance will be crucial in containing Hannover's forwards.
Hannover 96
- Ron-Robert Zieler: The goalkeeper has been a standout performer, making crucial saves throughout the season.
- Nicolรฒ Tresoldi: Leading the scoring charts for Hannover with 6 goals, Tresoldi will be pivotal in breaking down Ulm's defense.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Ulm: Average of 10.97 shots per game, with 3.81 on target. Their Expected Goals Against (xGA) of 1.59 highlights potential vulnerabilities.
- Hannover 96: Average of 13.03 shots per game, with 3.87 on target. Their xGA of 1.42 suggests a slightly more robust defense.
Possession and Passing
- Ulm: Possession rate of 46.39% and successful passes averaging 275.77 per match.
- Hannover 96: Possession rate of 49.68% and successful passes averaging 305.9 per match.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Hannover 96 appears to have a slight edge over Ulm, particularly in offensive capabilities. However, Ulm's home advantage and defensive solidity could make this a tightly contested match. Key factors such as Semir Telalovic's goal-scoring ability and Ron-Robert Zieler's goalkeeping prowess will be decisive.
Final Score Prediction
Given the data, a narrow victory for Hannover 96 seems likely, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 in favor of the away team.