MATCH OVERVIEW
Freiburg and St. Pauli are set to face off in a pivotal Bundesliga match at the Europa-Park Stadion. Scheduled for November 9, 2025, at 14:30 GMT, this encounter is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings. Freiburg, known for their solid home performances, will be keen to capitalize on their strengths against a determined St. Pauli.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds favor Freiburg with a 1.72 chance of winning, indicating a 58.14% probability. The draw is priced at 3.76, translating to a 26.60% chance, while St. Pauli's odds of 4.28 suggest a 23.36% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Freiburg is expected to have the upper hand, but St. Pauli's potential for an upset cannot be overlooked.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Freiburg
- Current Form: Freiburg has been consistent, averaging 1.57 goals per match and maintaining a balanced possession rate of 50.86%.
- Strengths: Strong offensive capabilities with an average of 11 shots per game and a high expected goals rate of 1.73.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense, conceding 1.57 goals per match.
St. Pauli
- Current Form: St. Pauli averages 1 goal per match, with a slightly lower possession rate of 49%.
- Strengths: Effective passing game, averaging 499.75 passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive frailties, conceding 1.75 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Freiburg has had the upper hand in previous encounters, but St. Pauli's recent form suggests they could pose a significant challenge.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Freiburg
- Vincenzo Grifo: Leading goal scorer with 3 goals this season.
- Lukas Kübler: Key defensive player with 285.26 points.
St. Pauli
- Andréas Hountondji: Top scorer with 3 goals.
- Danel Sinani: Influential midfielder with 308.91 points.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Freiburg averages 11 shots per game, while St. Pauli slightly edges with 11.75.
- Defensive Metrics: Freiburg's defense is slightly more robust, with 36.86 interceptions compared to St. Pauli's 32.
- Possession: Freiburg holds a slight edge in possession, averaging 50.86%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Freiburg is likely to leverage their home advantage and superior offensive capabilities to secure a win. Key factors include their higher expected goals and solid midfield performance. St. Pauli's resilience and effective passing could challenge Freiburg, but the home team is favored to prevail.
Final Score Prediction: Freiburg 2-1 St. Pauli Half Time Score Prediction: Freiburg 1-0 St. Pauli Probability of Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 70%
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