Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim - Free AI Football Predictions with 80%+ Accuracy

MATCH OVERVIEW

Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim are set to face off in a pivotal Bundesliga match at the Mewa Arena. Scheduled for November 21, 2025, at 19:30, this encounter is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings. Mainz 05, currently struggling to find consistency, will be keen to capitalize on their home advantage. Meanwhile, Hoffenheim, with a stronger offensive record, will look to exploit Mainz's defensive vulnerabilities.

ODDS ANALYSIS

The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Mainz 05 slightly favored at 2.08, while Hoffenheim stands at 2.7. The draw is priced at 3.24, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities derived from these odds are:

• Mainz 05 win: 48.08%
• Draw: 30.86%
• Hoffenheim win: 37.04% Given these odds, Mainz 05 has a slight edge, but Hoffenheim's attacking prowess could turn the tide.

TEAM ANALYSIS

Mainz 05

Mainz 05 has had a mixed season, averaging 1.11 goals per match and conceding 1.89. Their possession stands at 49.44%, indicating a balanced approach. However, their defensive frailties, with an expected goals against of 1.43, could be a concern against Hoffenheim's attack.

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim boasts a stronger offensive record, averaging 2 goals per match and a possession rate of 51.67%. Their ability to score, coupled with a solid defensive rating of 636.19, makes them a formidable opponent. Hoffenheim's higher expected goals of 1.71 suggest they are likely to create more scoring opportunities.

KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT

Mainz 05

• Nadiem Amiri: With 3 goals this season, Amiri is a key player for Mainz 05.
• Dominik Kohr: His defensive contributions will be crucial in countering Hoffenheim's attack.

Hoffenheim

• Fisnik Asllani: Leading Hoffenheim's scoring with 5 goals, Asllani is a significant threat.
• Grischa Prömel: With 3 goals, Prömel adds depth to Hoffenheim's attacking options.

STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE

Offensive and Defensive Metrics

• Mainz 05: Average shots on target of 3.22 and successful dribbles of 13.89.
• Hoffenheim: Average shots on target of 5 and successful dribbles of 12.11.

Possession and Passing

• Mainz 05: Successful passes at 322.44, indicating a need for improvement in ball retention.
• Hoffenheim: Successful passes at 366.67, showcasing better ball control.

PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION

Based on the data, Hoffenheim's superior offensive capabilities and Mainz 05's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a potential victory for the away side. Key factors include Hoffenheim's higher expected goals and Mainz's lower defensive rating.

Final Score Prediction: Hoffenheim 2 - Mainz 05 1 Half Time Score Prediction: Hoffenheim 1 - Mainz 05 0 Probability for Both Teams to Score: 66% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 70%

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