St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund - Free AI Predictions, Betting Tips & Odds

AI predicts St. Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund score, BTTS & O/U odds. See how Nikola Vasilj and Serhou Guirassy makes a difference. Chat with AI. Free betting tips bot.

Match Information

Date 01/03/2025
Time 14:30:00
Tournament Bundesliga - Germany
St. Pauli St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund

Predictions.GG AI Predictions

HOME 23.8 Confidence Level (%)
DRAW 26.5 Confidence Level (%)
AWAY 53.2 Confidence Level (%)
Predicted Score 3-1
Half-Time Score 1-0

Best Players - St. Pauli

  • Nikola Vasilj AI Points: 298.14
  • Morgan Guilavogui AI Points: 253.2
  • Hauke Wahl AI Points: 247.43
  • Eric Smith AI Points: 240.92
  • Karol Mets AI Points: 228.72

Best Players - Borussia Dortmund

  • Serhou Guirassy AI Points: 282.12
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens AI Points: 277.74
  • Nico Schlotterbeck AI Points: 274.64
  • Julian Brandt AI Points: 239.96
  • Pascal Groß AI Points: 228.15
Emma Thornfield

Emma Thornfield

🎙️ Football podcast host | 🔴 Arsenal till I die | 📻 Broadcasting from Islington | Collecting vintage programme covers since '98

Published at 15/05/2025
[email protected]

Match Overview

The upcoming Bundesliga match between St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund is a crucial fixture for both teams. Dortmund, currently in the hunt for the league title, will be eager to secure three points against a resilient St. Pauli side. Meanwhile, St. Pauli will aim to leverage their home advantage to upset the odds and climb the league table.

Odds Analysis

The average odds for this match are as follows: St. Pauli at 4.2, Draw at 3.78, and Borussia Dortmund at 1.88. These odds suggest a 23.8% probability for a St. Pauli win, a 26.5% chance for a draw, and a 53.2% likelihood of a Dortmund victory. The odds heavily favor Dortmund, indicating their superior form and squad depth.

Team Analysis

St. Pauli

  • Current Form: St. Pauli has struggled this season, with an average of 0.78 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.57%.
  • Strengths: Strong in dribbles with 12.74 successful dribbles per match.
  • Weaknesses: Low goal-scoring rate and a high expected goals against of 1.41.
  • Head-to-Head: Historically, Dortmund has dominated this fixture, but St. Pauli will look to exploit any complacency.

Borussia Dortmund

  • Current Form: Dortmund has been prolific, averaging 1.86 goals per match and maintaining 62% possession.
  • Strengths: High offensive output with 4.68 shots on target per match.
  • Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 1.68 goals per match.
  • Tactical Approach: Expect Dortmund to control possession and press high, exploiting St. Pauli's defensive frailties.

Key Players Spotlight

St. Pauli

  • Morgan Guilavogui: Top scorer with 5 goals, crucial for St. Pauli's attacking play.
  • Nikola Vasilj: Key defensive figure with 298.14 points this season.

Borussia Dortmund

  • Serhou Guirassy: Leading the charge with 13 goals, a constant threat to defenses.
  • Jamie Bynoe-Gittens: A dynamic presence with 6 goals, capable of changing the game.

Statistical Deep Dive

  • Offensive Metrics: Dortmund's 1.77 expected goals per match outshine St. Pauli's 1.08.
  • Defensive Metrics: St. Pauli's 1.17 goals conceded per match is slightly better than Dortmund's 1.68.
  • Possession and Passing: Dortmund's superior passing accuracy and possession highlight their control in games.

Prediction and Conclusion

Based on the data, Borussia Dortmund is expected to dominate the match, leveraging their offensive prowess and possession control. Key factors include Dortmund's ability to exploit St. Pauli's defensive weaknesses and the impact of their top scorers.

Final Score Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 St. Pauli

Half Time Score Prediction: Borussia Dortmund 1-0 St. Pauli

Both Teams to Score Probability: 72.73%

Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 72.73%