MATCH OVERVIEW
Cork City and St. Patrick's Athletic are set to face off in a pivotal League of Ireland match at Turner's Cross. This fixture holds significant importance as both teams are vying for crucial points to enhance their standings in the league. Cork City, currently struggling to find consistent form, will be looking to leverage their home advantage against a strong St. Patrick's Athletic side. The match is scheduled for April 11, 2025, at 18:45, and promises to be a thrilling encounter.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds are heavily in favor of St. Patrick's Athletic, with an average of 1.64 for an away win, indicating a 60.98% probability. Cork City, on the other hand, has odds of 4.82, translating to a 20.75% chance of winning. The draw is priced at 3.86, suggesting an 25.91% likelihood. Based on these odds, St. Patrick's Athletic is expected to dominate the match, but Cork City's home advantage could play a crucial role.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Cork City has had a mixed season, with an average of 6 matches played, scoring 1.33 goals per game and conceding 1.33. Their possession stands at 50.5%, indicating a balanced approach. However, their defensive vulnerabilities are highlighted by an expected goals against of 1.81. St. Patrick's Athletic, in contrast, has played 7 matches, scoring 1.71 goals per game and conceding just 1. Their possession is significantly higher at 59.29%, showcasing their control in matches. The head-to-head statistics favor St. Patrick's Athletic, who have a more robust tactical approach.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Cork City, Ruairi Keating has been a standout performer with 3 goals this season. S. Maguire and Kitt Nelson have also contributed to the scoreline. St. Patrick's Athletic's Aidan Keena is the top scorer with 5 goals, supported by Chris Forrester and Zach Elbouzedi. The matchup between Keating and Keena will be crucial in determining the outcome of the game.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Cork City's offensive metrics show an average of 12.17 shots per game, with 3.5 on target. Their expected goals stand at 1.38, indicating potential scoring opportunities. Defensively, they average 57.83 interceptions and 12.67 clearances. St. Patrick's Athletic boasts superior offensive stats with 15.14 shots per game and 5.14 on target, alongside an expected goals of 1.86. Their defensive metrics include 33.14 interceptions and 4.57 clearances, showcasing a solid backline.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Considering the data, St. Patrick's Athletic is likely to emerge victorious, given their superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors such as possession, goal-scoring ability, and defensive solidity favor the away team. Cork City will need to capitalize on their home advantage and exploit any weaknesses in St. Patrick's Athletic's defense. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of St. Patrick's Athletic, with a half-time score of 1-0.