MATCH OVERVIEW
Derry City and Shelbourne are gearing up for an exciting League of Ireland match that holds significant implications for both teams. As the season progresses, every point becomes vital, and this clash at Derry City's home ground is no exception. Scheduled for May 2, 2025, at 18:45 GMT, the match is set to be a spectacle for fans and a test for the players.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Derry City favored slightly at 2.18, while Shelbourne stands at 3.58, and a draw at 3.00. These odds translate to a probability of 45.9% for a Derry City win, 27.9% for a Shelbourne victory, and 33.3% for a draw. The odds indicate a closely contested match, with Derry City having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Derry City
Derry City has shown a solid performance this season, with an average of 1.25 goals per match and a possession rate of 53.58%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by an expected goals (xG) of 1.59, indicating their potential to score. However, they have conceded an average of 1.33 goals, which could be a concern against Shelbourne's attacking prowess.
Shelbourne
Shelbourne boasts a higher possession rate at 59.42% and averages 1.33 goals per match. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.64 suggests they can challenge Derry City's defense effectively. Shelbourne's defensive record is stronger, conceding only 1 goal per match, which could be crucial in this encounter.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Derry City and Shelbourne have had competitive matches, with Derry City often having the upper hand at home. This trend could play a role in the upcoming match, giving Derry City a psychological advantage.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Derry City
- Michael Duffy: With 5 goals this season, Duffy is a key player for Derry City, capable of turning the game in their favor.
- Danny Mullen: Another crucial player, contributing 3 goals, Mullen's form will be vital.
Shelbourne
- Mipo Odubeko: Leading Shelbourne's attack with 4 goals, Odubeko's performance will be pivotal.
- Evan Caffrey: With 3 goals, Caffrey adds depth to Shelbourne's offensive lineup.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Derry City: Average 11.92 shots per match, with 4.25 on target.
- Shelbourne: Average 15.17 shots per match, with 4.92 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Derry City: Average 6.08 clearances and 34.75 interceptions.
- Shelbourne: Average 7.25 clearances and 39.08 interceptions.
Possession and Passing
- Derry City: 412.08 passes per match, with a success rate of 325.42.
- Shelbourne: 569 passes per match, with a success rate of 484.42.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Derry City has a slight edge due to their home advantage and historical performance against Shelbourne. However, Shelbourne's strong possession and defensive capabilities could make this a challenging match for Derry City.
Final Score Prediction
Derry City 2 - 1 Shelbourne
Half Time Score Prediction
Derry City 1 - 1 Shelbourne
Match-Winning Factors
- Derry City's Home Advantage: Historically strong at home.
- Shelbourne's Defensive Strength: Could neutralize Derry City's attack.
In conclusion, while Derry City is favored, Shelbourne's resilience and tactical approach could lead to an exciting and closely fought match.