Empoli vs Bari - Free AI Football Predictions with 80%+ Accuracy

MATCH OVERVIEW

Empoli and Bari are gearing up for a pivotal Serie B match that could significantly impact their season trajectories. With Empoli playing at home, they will look to leverage their familiar surroundings to secure a win. Bari, on the other hand, will aim to upset the hosts and climb the league table. The match is set to kick off at 14:00 on November 29, 2025, at Empoli's stadium.

ODDS ANALYSIS

The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Empoli, with odds of 2.04 for a home win. The draw is priced at 3.13, while Bari's chances of winning are at 3.41. This translates to a probability of approximately 48.8% for Empoli to win, 31.9% for a draw, and 29.3% for Bari to emerge victorious. Given these odds, Empoli is favored to win, but Bari's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.

TEAM ANALYSIS

Empoli has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 12 matches played. They have a 50% success rate in matches with over 2.5 goals and a 75% rate for both teams scoring. Their possession stands at 46.67%, with an average of 1.17 goals per match. Bari, meanwhile, has played 11 matches, with a slightly lower over 2.5 goals percentage at 45.45% and a 63.64% rate for both teams scoring. Bari's possession is slightly higher at 48.18%, and they average 1 goal per match.

KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT

Empoli's Stiven Shpendi and Bogdan Popov have been standout performers, each scoring 5 goals this season. Their contributions will be crucial in breaking down Bari's defense. Bari's Gabriele Moncini, with 5 goals, will be a key threat to Empoli's backline. The matchup between these forwards could be decisive in determining the outcome.

STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE

Empoli's offensive metrics show an average of 10 shots per game, with 3.75 on target. Their expected goals stand at 1.39, indicating a potential for scoring. Defensively, they concede 1.5 goals per match. Bari, on the other hand, averages 10.73 shots per game, with 2.82 on target, and an expected goals of 1.19. They concede 1.45 goals per match, suggesting a closely contested game.

PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION

Based on the data, Empoli is slightly favored to win, but Bari's resilience and ability to score could lead to a competitive match. Key factors will include Empoli's home advantage and the performance of their top scorers. The final score prediction is a narrow 2-1 victory for Empoli, with a half-time score of 1-1. Both teams are likely to score, with a probability of 75%, and the chances of over 2.5 goals are at 50%.

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