MATCH OVERVIEW
Empoli and Südtirol face off in a pivotal Serie B match that could shape the trajectory of their respective seasons. With Empoli playing at home, they will be eager to leverage their home advantage to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Südtirol will be looking to upset the hosts and gain valuable points on the road.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Empoli, with odds of 2.21 for a home win, 3.05 for a draw, and 3.12 for an away win. This translates to a probability of approximately 45.2% for an Empoli victory, 32.8% for a draw, and 32% for a Südtirol win. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Empoli being the marginal favorites.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Empoli
Empoli has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.37 goals per match and a possession rate of 46.53%. Their offensive play is supported by an average of 10.26 shots per game, with 3.89 on target. Defensively, they concede 1.26 goals per match, indicating a need for improvement at the back.
Südtirol
Südtirol, on the other hand, averages 0.95 goals per match and maintains a lower possession rate of 39%. They have a slightly better defensive record, conceding 1.16 goals per game. Their ability to engage in duels, with an average of 229.11 per match, could be crucial in disrupting Empoli's play.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Empoli and Südtirol have had closely contested matches, with neither team dominating the other. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to their upcoming encounter.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Empoli
- Stiven Shpendi: With 6 goals this season, Shpendi is Empoli's top scorer and a key player to watch.
- Andrea Fulignati: A consistent performer with 146.8 points, Fulignati's contributions will be vital.
Südtirol
- Silvio Merkaj: Leading the scoring for Südtirol with 4 goals, Merkaj will be crucial in their attacking efforts.
- Raphael Kofler: With 174.76 points, Kofler's defensive prowess will be essential in keeping Empoli at bay.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Empoli averages 1.37 goals per game compared to Südtirol's 0.95, indicating a stronger attacking presence.
- Defensive Metrics: Südtirol's defensive rating of 362.16 surpasses Empoli's 283.39, suggesting a more robust defense.
- Possession and Passing: Empoli's higher possession and passing accuracy could give them an edge in controlling the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Empoli's home advantage and superior attacking stats make them slight favorites in this matchup. However, Südtirol's solid defense and ability to engage in duels could pose challenges. The key to victory for Empoli will be breaking down Südtirol's defense, while Südtirol will aim to capitalize on counter-attacks.
Final Score Prediction
Empoli 2-1 Südtirol
Half Time Score Prediction
Empoli 1-0 Südtirol
Both Teams to Score Probability
57.89%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability
47.37%
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