MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie B match between Frosinone and Modena is set to be a captivating encounter, with both teams eager to secure a victory that could significantly impact their standings. Frosinone, playing at home, will look to harness their local support to overcome Modena, who have shown impressive form this season. The match, taking place at Frosinone's stadium, kicks off at 14:00 on November 8, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match are closely contested, with Frosinone having a slight edge at 2.64 compared to Modena's 2.51. The draw is priced at 3.15, indicating a competitive match. The probabilities suggest a balanced game, with Frosinone having a 37.88% chance of winning, Modena at 39.84%, and a draw at 31.75%. These odds reflect the evenly matched nature of the teams, with Modena slightly favored due to their recent performances.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Frosinone has had a mixed season, with an average of 1.82 goals per match and a possession rate of 48.09%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding only 0.82 goals per game. However, their offensive play has been inconsistent, as indicated by their 45.45% over 2.5 goals rate. Modena, on the other hand, boasts a higher possession rate of 53.18% and a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.55 goals per match. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 1.73 goals per game and a 45.45% both teams to score rate.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Frosinone's Farès Ghedjemis, with 4 goals this season, will be crucial in their attacking strategy. Ilias Koutsoupias and Giacomo Calò, both with 3 goals, are also key figures. Modena's Ettore Gliozzi, the top scorer with 7 goals, poses a significant threat to Frosinone's defense. The matchup between Ghedjemis and Gliozzi could be decisive in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Frosinone's average of 16.09 shots per game, with 5.27 on target, indicates their aggressive approach, though their conversion rate needs improvement. Modena's 14.55 shots per game, with 4.27 on target, reflects a more measured approach. Defensively, Modena's expected goals against of 0.68 showcases their resilience, while Frosinone's 1.81 suggests vulnerabilities.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Modena appears slightly favored to win, given their superior defensive metrics and goal-scoring prowess. However, Frosinone's home advantage and key players could turn the tide. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on defensive solidity and key player performances. Final score prediction: Frosinone 1-2 Modena.
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