MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie B match between Modena and Frosinone is set to be a pivotal encounter in the league. Both teams are eager to secure points that could significantly impact their standings as the season progresses. Modena, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their familiar surroundings, while Frosinone will strive to overcome the odds and claim victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Modena slightly favored at 2.23, indicating a 44.8% probability of winning. The draw is priced at 3.05, translating to a 32.8% chance, while Frosinone's odds of 3.47 reflect a 28.8% probability of an away win. These odds highlight Modena's home advantage but also suggest a closely contested match.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Modena
Modena's current form shows a balanced approach with an average of 1.24 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.18%. Their defensive solidity is evident with 1.24 goals conceded per game, supported by 40.12 interceptions. However, their offensive play could be more dynamic, as indicated by their 1.36 expected goals.
Frosinone
Frosinone, on the other hand, averages 1 goal per match and maintains slightly higher possession at 48.03%. Their defense has been less robust, conceding 1.34 goals per game. Frosinone's offensive strategy relies on crosses, averaging 14.81 per match, which could be a key factor against Modena.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Modena and Frosinone have had closely contested matches, with neither team dominating the other. This balance is reflected in their current odds and statistical metrics.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Modena
Antonio Palumbo stands out with 8 goals this season, making him a crucial player for Modena's attacking strategy. His performance will be vital in breaking down Frosinone's defense.
Frosinone
Giuseppe Ambrosino, with 3 goals, is a key figure in Frosinone's attack. His ability to find the net could be decisive in a match where goals are expected to be hard-earned.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Modena: Average 11.18 shots per game, with 3.88 on target.
- Frosinone: Slightly higher at 11.72 shots, with 3.97 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Modena averages 6.45 clearances, while Frosinone averages 4.28.
- Possession: Frosinone edges Modena with 48.03% possession.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Modena's home advantage and slightly better odds suggest they might edge out Frosinone. However, Frosinone's ability to maintain possession and their crossing strategy could pose challenges. The match is likely to be closely contested, with Modena potentially securing a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: Modena 2-1 Frosinone Half Time Score Prediction: Modena 1-0 Frosinone Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 45%