MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Serie B match between Modena and Juve Stabia is set to be a pivotal encounter in the league. With Modena playing at home, they will look to leverage their home advantage to secure a win against Juve Stabia. This match is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league table and strengthen their positions.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Modena, with odds of 2.04 for a home win, 2.98 for a draw, and 3.62 for an away win. This translates to a probability of approximately 49% for Modena to win, 33% for a draw, and 28% for Juve Stabia to win. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Modena favored to come out on top.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Modena
Modena has shown solid form this season, with an average of 1.5 goals per match and a possession rate of 53.38%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their average of 16.31 shots per game, with 5 on target. Defensively, Modena has been strong, conceding only 0.69 goals per match.
Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia, on the other hand, has averaged 1.06 goals per match and a slightly higher possession rate of 54.44%. Their defense has been less robust, conceding 1.19 goals per match. Juve Stabia's offensive play is characterized by 10.31 shots per game, with 3.25 on target.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Modena has had the upper hand in encounters with Juve Stabia, often leveraging their home advantage to secure wins. This trend could continue, given Modena's current form and statistical edge.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Modena
- Ettore Gliozzi: With 8 goals this season, Gliozzi is a key player for Modena, capable of turning the tide in their favor.
- Daniel Tonoli: A versatile player with 165 points, Tonoli's contributions in both defense and attack are invaluable.
Juve Stabia
- Leonardo Candellone: Leading the scoring for Juve Stabia with 4 goals, Candellone will be crucial in breaking through Modena's defense.
- Andrea Giorgini: With 148.22 points, Giorgini's performance in midfield will be pivotal for Juve Stabia.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Modena: Averaging 2.03 expected goals and 0.8 expected goals against, Modena's balance between attack and defense is evident.
- Juve Stabia: With 1.28 expected goals and 1.17 expected goals against, Juve Stabia's defense may need to tighten up to withstand Modena's attacks.
Possession and Passing
- Modena: 399.13 passes per game with a success rate of 329.38, showcasing their ability to control the game.
- Juve Stabia: 434.5 passes per game with a success rate of 368.75, indicating their proficiency in maintaining possession.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Modena is likely to emerge victorious, leveraging their home advantage and superior defensive record. Key factors such as Gliozzi's goal-scoring prowess and Modena's solid defense could be decisive.
Final Score Prediction
- Modena 2-1 Juve Stabia
Half Time Score Prediction
- Modena 1-0 Juve Stabia
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 49%
- Away Win: 28%
- Draw: 33%
- Both Teams to Score: 43.75%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 50%
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