Match Overview
The Serie B clash between Modena and Salernitana is set to be a pivotal match in the current season. Both teams are looking to gain momentum as they approach the business end of the campaign. Modena, playing at home, will be eager to capitalize on their home advantage, while Salernitana will aim to upset the hosts and climb the league table.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Modena, with odds of 2.15 for a home win, 2.94 for a draw, and 3.82 for an away win. This translates to a probability of approximately 46.5% for a Modena victory, 34% for a draw, and 26.2% for a Salernitana win. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Modena being the favorites to secure the three points.
Team Analysis
Modena
- Current Form: Modena has shown a balanced performance this season, with an average of 1.26 goals per match and a possession rate of 46.19%.
- Strengths: Modena's ability to score and maintain a solid defense, conceding only 1.19 goals per match, is a key strength.
- Weaknesses: Their possession and passing accuracy could be improved to control the game better.
Salernitana
- Current Form: Salernitana has struggled offensively, averaging 0.96 goals per match, but they maintain a higher possession rate of 53.52%.
- Strengths: Their passing game is strong, with an average of 365.7 successful passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident, with 1.37 goals conceded per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Modena and Salernitana have had closely contested matches, with neither team dominating the other. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to their upcoming encounter.
Tactical Approaches
Modena is likely to focus on a balanced approach, leveraging their defensive solidity and counter-attacking capabilities. Salernitana, on the other hand, may aim to control possession and exploit any defensive lapses from Modena.
Key Players Spotlight
Modena
- Antonio Palumbo: With 7 goals this season, Palumbo is a crucial attacking threat for Modena.
- Giovanni Zaro: A key defensive figure, contributing significantly to Modena's defensive stability.
Salernitana
- Alberto Cerri: A versatile forward with 3 goals, Cerri will be pivotal in Salernitana's attacking efforts.
- Flavius Daniliuc: Known for his defensive prowess, Daniliuc will be essential in thwarting Modena's attacks.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Modena averages 11.22 shots per match, with 3.93 on target, while Salernitana averages 12.41 shots, with 4.11 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Modena's defense is slightly more robust, with 6.3 clearances per match compared to Salernitana's 4.19.
- Passing and Possession: Salernitana's superior passing accuracy and possession could be a decisive factor if they capitalize on it effectively.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Modena is favored to win this encounter. Key factors such as home advantage, defensive solidity, and Antonio Palumbo's goal-scoring form could tilt the match in their favor. However, Salernitana's ability to control possession and their passing game could pose challenges for Modena.
Final Score Prediction: Modena 2-1 Salernitana Half Time Score Prediction: Modena 1-0 Salernitana Both Teams to Score Probability: 55% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 41%