MATCH OVERVIEW
Venezia and Spezia are gearing up for a pivotal Serie B match that could influence their standings in the league. Both teams have shown varying forms this season, making this clash an intriguing prospect. The match will be held at Venezia's home ground, Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, providing them with a slight edge. Scheduled for September 27, 2025, at 13:00, this encounter is set to be a highlight of the Serie B calendar.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Venezia slightly favored at 2.52 compared to Spezia's 2.65. The draw is priced at 3.18, indicating a competitive match where both teams have a fair chance of securing points. The probabilities derived from these odds are:
- Venezia win: 39.7%
- Draw: 31.4%
- Spezia win: 37.7% Given these odds, a narrow victory for either side seems plausible, with Venezia's home advantage potentially tipping the scales.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Venezia
Venezia has had a mixed start to the season, averaging 1.25 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 54.5%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by a high Expected Goals (xG) of 1.79, suggesting they create quality chances. However, their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding 1.25 goals per game.
Spezia
Spezia, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.5 goals per match. Their possession stands at 49.25%, and they have a lower xG of 0.91, indicating fewer scoring opportunities. Defensively, they concede 1.5 goals per game, which could be a concern against Venezia's attacking prowess.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Venezia and Spezia have been tightly contested, with both teams having their share of victories. This adds an extra layer of excitement to the upcoming fixture.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Venezia
- Seid Korac: Leading the team with 161.2 points, his performance will be crucial.
- Filip Stanković: A key figure in defense, contributing 160.19 points.
- Gianluca Busio: With 125.33 points and a goal to his name, he is a vital part of Venezia's midfield.
Spezia
- Ales Mateju: Spezia's top performer with 163.55 points, his defensive skills will be essential.
- Salvatore Esposito: A versatile player with 156.47 points and a goal, he can influence the game significantly.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Venezia: Averaging 12.5 shots per game, with 4.25 on target.
- Spezia: Averaging 8 shots per game, with 3.5 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Venezia: 39.5 interceptions per game, indicating strong defensive awareness.
- Spezia: 29.5 interceptions per game, showing room for improvement.
Possession and Passing
- Venezia: 418 passes per game with a success rate of 362.5.
- Spezia: 363.25 passes per game with a success rate of 294.5.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Venezia appears to have a slight edge due to their home advantage and superior offensive metrics. Spezia's defensive resilience will be tested, and their ability to counterattack could be crucial.
Final Score Prediction
- Venezia 2-1 Spezia
Key Factors
- Venezia's home advantage and higher xG.
- Spezia's need to improve offensively to match Venezia's attacking threat.
In conclusion, while both teams have their strengths, Venezia's ability to create and convert chances might just see them edge out Spezia in this encounter.
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