MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming J League match between Urawa Reds and Cerezo Osaka is poised to be a captivating contest. Scheduled to kick off at 10:30 AM GMT on May 28, 2025, at the iconic Saitama Stadium, this fixture holds significant importance for both teams as they aim to secure a favorable position in the league standings.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive battle, with Urawa Reds slightly favored at 1.99, indicating a 50.3% probability of a home win. The odds for a draw stand at 3.33, translating to a 30.0% chance, while Cerezo Osaka's odds are 3.57, giving them a 28.0% probability of an away victory. These odds reflect the closely matched nature of the teams, with Urawa Reds having a slight edge.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Urawa Reds
Urawa Reds have shown consistency this season, averaging 1.28 goals per match and maintaining a solid defense with only 0.94 goals conceded per game. Their possession rate of 49.5% indicates a balanced approach, while their expected goals (xG) of 1.06 suggest they create decent scoring opportunities. However, their over 2.5 goals percentage is relatively low at 33.33%, pointing to a more defensive style.
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka, on the other hand, have been more aggressive, with an average of 1.41 goals per match and a higher possession rate of 54.06%. Their xG of 1.43 highlights their attacking prowess, but they also concede 1.41 goals per game, which could be a concern against Urawa's disciplined defense. Their over 2.5 goals percentage of 52.94% suggests they are involved in more high-scoring games.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been closely contested, with both sides having their share of victories. Urawa Reds' home advantage could play a crucial role, but Cerezo Osaka's attacking capabilities cannot be underestimated.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Urawa Reds
- Ryoma Watanabe: With 5 goals this season, Watanabe is a key figure in Urawa's attack.
- Thiago: Contributing 3 goals, Thiago's presence adds depth to the forward line.
Cerezo Osaka
- Rafael Ratão: Leading the scoring charts for Cerezo with 6 goals, Ratão is a constant threat.
- Sota Kitano: With 4 goals, Kitano complements Ratão in the attacking department.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Urawa Reds: Average 10.89 shots per game, with 3.83 on target.
- Cerezo Osaka: Slightly higher with 12.18 shots, 4.12 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Urawa Reds: Concede 0.94 goals per match, with 2.56 goalkeeper saves.
- Cerezo Osaka: Concede 1.41 goals, with 2.65 saves.
Possession and Passing
- Urawa Reds: 451.39 passes per game, 375.11 successful.
- Cerezo Osaka: 546.53 passes, 465.24 successful.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Urawa Reds have a slight advantage due to their defensive solidity and home ground. However, Cerezo Osaka's attacking strength could lead to a high-scoring affair. Key factors will include Urawa's ability to contain Ratão and Kitano, and Cerezo's defense against Watanabe and Thiago.
Final Score Prediction
Urawa Reds 2-1 Cerezo Osaka
Half Time Score Prediction
Urawa Reds 1-0 Cerezo Osaka
Both Teams to Score Probability
65%
Over 2.5 Goals Probability
55%