MATCH OVERVIEW
Gimcheon Sangmu and Suwon are gearing up for a pivotal clash in the K League 1, with both teams eager to secure a win that could significantly impact their standings. Gimcheon Sangmu, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Suwon. The match is set to take place at Gimcheon Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 10:00 AM on June 1, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Gimcheon Sangmu with a 1.57 chance of winning, translating to a probability of approximately 63.7%. The draw is priced at 3.9, offering a 25.6% chance, while Suwon's odds of 4.5 suggest a 22.2% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Gimcheon Sangmu is expected to dominate, but the possibility of a draw remains a viable outcome.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Gimcheon Sangmu
- Current Form: Gimcheon Sangmu has played 15 matches this season, with a notable average of 1.53 goals per game.
- Strengths: Strong offensive capabilities with an average of 14.33 shots per game and 5.73 on target.
- Weaknesses: Possession is relatively low at 45.07%, which could be exploited by Suwon.
Suwon
- Current Form: Suwon has played 16 matches, scoring an average of 0.88 goals per game.
- Strengths: Effective dribbling with 22.25 attempts per game and 16.56 successful.
- Weaknesses: Conceding 1.19 goals per game, which could be problematic against Gimcheon's attack.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Gimcheon Sangmu has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but Suwon's resilience could make this match unpredictable.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Gimcheon Sangmu
- Dong-gyeong Lee: Leading scorer with 6 goals, crucial for Gimcheon's attacking strategy.
- Sang-hyeok Park: Another key player with 5 goals, adding depth to the offensive lineup.
Suwon
- Anderson Oliveira: Top scorer with 5 goals, pivotal in Suwon's quest for goals.
- Pablo Sabbag: Contributing 4 goals, he remains a threat in the attacking third.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Gimcheon Sangmu: Averaging 1.53 goals and 1.62 expected goals per game.
- Suwon: Averaging 0.88 goals and 1.3 expected goals per game.
Defensive Metrics
- Gimcheon Sangmu: Conceding 1.07 goals per game, with strong interception numbers at 40.33.
- Suwon: Conceding 1.19 goals per game, with 45.63 interceptions.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Gimcheon Sangmu is likely to leverage their home advantage and superior offensive stats to secure a win. Key factors include their ability to convert shots on target and maintain defensive solidity. Suwon's chances hinge on their ability to disrupt Gimcheon's rhythm and capitalize on counter-attacks.
Final Score Prediction: Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 Suwon Half Time Score Prediction: Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Suwon Probability for Both Teams to Score: 46.67% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 46.67%