Match Overview
The Liga MX match between Atlético de San Luis and Juárez is set to be a pivotal encounter in the current season. With both teams looking to climb the league table, this match could have significant implications for their respective campaigns. The Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez will be the venue for this exciting clash, scheduled to kick off at 01:00 UTC on March 8, 2025.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Atlético de San Luis, with odds of 1.95 for a home win. The probability of a draw stands at 3.22, while Juárez is given odds of 3.15 to secure an away victory. This translates to a 51.3% chance for a home win, a 31.1% chance for a draw, and a 31.7% chance for an away win. Based on these odds, Atlético de San Luis is favored to come out on top, but Juárez's potential for an upset cannot be overlooked.
Team Analysis
Atlético de San Luis
- Current Form: Atlético de San Luis has played 31 matches this season, with a notable Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 67.74% and a Both Teams To Score percentage of 58.06%.
- Strengths: The team boasts a solid possession rate of 52.06% and averages 1.42 goals per match, supported by 10.58 shots and 4.39 shots on target per game.
- Weaknesses: Defensively, they concede an average of 1.55 goals per match, with an Expected Goals Against of 1.56.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Atlético de San Luis has had a competitive edge over Juárez, often leveraging their home advantage.
Juárez
- Current Form: Juárez has played 27 matches this season, with an Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 62.96% and a Both Teams To Score percentage of 51.85%.
- Strengths: Juárez excels in duels, averaging 204.59 per match with a success rate of 95.41. They also have a higher average of successful dribbles at 17.37.
- Weaknesses: The team struggles defensively, conceding 1.85 goals per match, with an Expected Goals Against of 1.69.
- Head-to-Head: Juárez has found it challenging to secure victories against Atlético de San Luis, particularly in away fixtures.
Key Players Spotlight
- Atlético de San Luis: Sébastien Salles-Lamonge is a standout performer with 10 goals this season, while Juan Manuel Sanabria contributes significantly with 184.67 points.
- Juárez: Óscar Estupiñán leads the scoring for Juárez with 9 goals, and Madson has been influential with 151.01 points.
- Matchups: The duel between Salles-Lamonge and Juárez's defensive line will be crucial, as will Estupiñán's ability to penetrate Atlético's defense.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Atlético de San Luis averages 1.42 goals per match, while Juárez scores 1.19. Both teams have similar shot metrics, but Atlético has a slight edge in shots on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Juárez concedes more goals on average (1.85) compared to Atlético (1.55), indicating a potential vulnerability.
- Possession and Passing: Atlético de San Luis maintains better possession and passing accuracy, which could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Atlético de San Luis is likely to have the upper hand in this encounter. Key factors such as home advantage, superior possession, and a more robust offensive lineup could tilt the match in their favor. However, Juárez's resilience and ability to perform in duels should not be underestimated.
Final Score Prediction: Atlético de San Luis 2-1 Juárez Half Time Score Prediction: Atlético de San Luis 1-0 Juárez Both Teams to Score Probability: 58% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 68%