The upcoming match between Cruz Azul and Atlético de San Luis is a significant fixture in the Liga MX calendar. Cruz Azul, currently enjoying a strong season, will look to capitalize on their home advantage at Estadio Azteca. Meanwhile, Atlético de San Luis aims to upset the odds and secure a vital away victory.
Odds Analysis
The average odds suggest a strong likelihood of a home victory for Cruz Azul, with odds of 1.32 indicating a 75.76% probability. The draw is less likely at 4.99, translating to a 20.04% chance, while an away win for Atlético de San Luis is the least probable at 7.18, equating to a 13.92% chance. Based on these odds, Cruz Azul is expected to dominate the match.
Team Analysis
Cruz Azul
- Current Form: Cruz Azul has been impressive this season, with an average of 31 matches played.
- Strengths: High possession rate (58.94%), strong offensive capabilities with 1.9 goals per match, and solid defensive stats with only 0.94 goals conceded.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to dangerous own half losses (3.29 per match).
Atlético de San Luis
- Current Form: Atlético de San Luis has played 32 matches, showing resilience and competitive spirit.
- Strengths: Effective dribbling (17.59 per match) and high interception rate (38.53).
- Weaknesses: Higher goals conceded (1.5 per match) and lower possession (51.88%).
Head-to-Head Statistics
Cruz Azul has historically had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage to secure victories. Atlético de San Luis will need to overcome this trend to claim points.
Tactical Approaches
Cruz Azul is likely to employ a possession-based strategy, utilizing their passing accuracy and offensive prowess. Atlético de San Luis may focus on counter-attacks, relying on their dribbling skills and interceptions to disrupt Cruz Azul's rhythm.
Key Players Spotlight
Cruz Azul
- Ángel Sepúlveda: Top scorer with 12 goals, crucial for breaking down defenses.
- C. Rotondi: Key playmaker with 230.72 points, instrumental in creating scoring opportunities.
Atlético de San Luis
- Sébastien Salles-Lamonge: Leading goal scorer with 10 goals, vital for their attacking threat.
- Juan Manuel Sanabria: High performer with 187 points, essential for midfield control.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Cruz Azul: 14.52 shots per match, 4.9 on target.
- Atlético de San Luis: 10.47 shots per match, 4.38 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Cruz Azul: 29.94 interceptions, 1.9 goalkeeper saves.
- Atlético de San Luis: 38.53 interceptions, 3.25 goalkeeper saves.
Prediction and Conclusion
Given the statistical analysis and odds, Cruz Azul is favored to win this match. Their possession and offensive strength are likely to be decisive factors. Atlético de San Luis will need to maximize their counter-attacking opportunities and defensive resilience to challenge Cruz Azul.
Final Score Prediction: Cruz Azul 2-1 Atlético de San Luis Half Time Score Prediction: Cruz Azul 1-0 Atlético de San Luis Both Teams to Score Probability: 51.61% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 54.84%