MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Liga MX match between Guadalajara and Necaxa promises to be an exciting encounter as both teams vie for valuable points. Scheduled to kick off at 01:05 AM UTC on September 24, 2025, at Estadio Akron, this match holds significant importance for both sides. Guadalajara, currently enjoying a strong season, will look to leverage their home advantage, while Necaxa seeks to improve their standing with a surprise victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a Guadalajara victory, with odds of 1.64 for the home team. The probability of a draw stands at 4.2, while an away win for Necaxa is priced at 4.43. These odds translate to a 60.98% chance of a Guadalajara win, a 23.81% chance of a draw, and a 22.57% chance of a Necaxa victory. Based on these figures, Guadalajara is the clear favorite to secure all three points.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Guadalajara
- Current Form: Guadalajara has been in impressive form this season, averaging 1.57 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 57.57%.
- Strengths: Their offensive prowess is highlighted by an average of 13.71 shots per game and a high successful dribble rate of 16.71.
- Weaknesses: Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.86 goals per match, which could be a concern against a determined Necaxa side.
Necaxa
- Current Form: Necaxa has struggled to find consistency, averaging just 0.88 goals per match with a possession rate of 49%.
- Strengths: They have shown resilience in defense with an average of 34.13 interceptions per game.
- Weaknesses: Their offensive output has been limited, with only 0.38 assists per match, indicating a need for improvement in creating goal-scoring opportunities.
Head-to-Head
In their recent encounters, Guadalajara has had the upper hand, often dominating possession and creating more chances. Necaxa will need to break this trend to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Guadalajara
- Armando González: With 4 goals this season, González is a key figure in Guadalajara's attack.
- Roberto Alvarado: Contributing 2 goals, Alvarado's creativity and vision are vital for breaking down defenses.
Necaxa
- Agustín Palavecino: Leading the team with 225.52 points, Palavecino's influence in midfield is crucial.
- Pável Pérez: With 2 goals, Pérez will be looking to exploit any defensive lapses from Guadalajara.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Guadalajara averages 1.57 goals per game compared to Necaxa's 0.88, highlighting their superior attacking threat.
- Defensive Metrics: Both teams have similar defensive records, with Guadalajara conceding 1.86 goals per game and Necaxa 1.75.
- Possession and Passing: Guadalajara's higher possession (57.57%) and passing accuracy (383.71 successful passes) give them a tactical edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Guadalajara is expected to dominate proceedings, leveraging their home advantage and superior attacking metrics. Key factors such as possession control and goal-scoring ability favor Guadalajara, making them the likely winners.
Final Score Prediction: Guadalajara 2-1 Necaxa Half Time Score Prediction: Guadalajara 1-0 Necaxa Both Teams to Score Probability: 71.43% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 71.43%
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