MATCH OVERVIEW
Juárez and Mazatlán are gearing up for an exciting Liga MX clash that promises to be a pivotal moment in their respective campaigns. Juárez, playing at home, will aim to capitalize on their possession-heavy approach, while Mazatlán will look to exploit their attacking strengths. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league. The game will take place at Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez, with kickoff scheduled for August 30, 2025, at 01:00 AM UTC.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Juárez slightly favored at 2.33, indicating a 42.9% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.25, translating to a 30.8% chance, while Mazatlán's odds of 3 suggest a 33.3% probability of an away victory. These odds reflect the balanced nature of the matchup, with Juárez's home advantage slightly tipping the scales in their favor.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Juárez has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 0.5 goals per match and a possession rate of 56.25%. Their defensive solidity is evident with 1.25 goals conceded per game, but their offensive output needs improvement. Mazatlán, on the other hand, has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.2 goals per match and a higher Over 2.5 Goals percentage of 60%. However, their possession rate of 39.8% indicates a reliance on counter-attacks.
Head-to-head statistics reveal a closely contested rivalry, with both teams having their moments of dominance. Juárez's tactical approach focuses on maintaining possession and creating chances through dribbles and crosses, while Mazatlán relies on quick transitions and set-piece opportunities.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Juárez will look to Ángel Zaldívar and Rodolfo Pizarro, both of whom have scored this season, to lead their attack. Sebastián Jurado's defensive contributions will be crucial in keeping Mazatlán at bay. For Mazatlán, Nicolás Benedetti, with 2 goals, will be a key figure in their offensive setup, supported by Jordan Sierra and Alberto Herrera.
Key player matchups include Juárez's Alejandro Mayorga against Mazatlán's Samir Caetano, which could be decisive in controlling the midfield battle.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Juárez's possession and passing accuracy are their strengths, with 436.5 passes per game and a success rate of 368.25. Their defensive metrics, including 34.75 interceptions, highlight their ability to disrupt opposition play. Mazatlán's offensive metrics, such as 1.22 expected goals and 7.2 shots per game, showcase their attacking intent.
Juárez's advantage lies in their possession and passing game, while Mazatlán's strength is in their ability to convert chances and maintain pressure through set-pieces.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Juárez's home advantage and possession-based style give them a slight edge. However, Mazatlán's attacking prowess cannot be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely be Juárez's ability to control the game tempo and Mazatlán's efficiency in front of goal.
Final score prediction: Juárez 1-1 Mazatlán. Both teams are expected to score, with a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals. The match could see a balanced first half, with a predicted half-time score of 0-0.
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