MATCH OVERVIEW
Juárez and Pumas UNAM are set to face off in a pivotal Liga MX match that could significantly impact their standings in the league. Juárez, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez to secure a victory. Meanwhile, Pumas UNAM aims to capitalize on their slightly better form and statistics to challenge Juárez on their home turf.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Juárez having odds of 2.54 to win, Pumas UNAM at 2.71, and a draw at 3.26. This indicates a balanced probability of outcomes, with Juárez having a slight edge due to home advantage. The probabilities based on these odds are approximately 39.4% for Juárez to win, 36.9% for Pumas UNAM, and 30.7% for a draw.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Juárez
Juárez has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 50.13%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1 goal per game. However, their offensive capabilities are limited, with only 0.63 assists per match. Juárez's strength lies in their dribbling, averaging 20.75 dribbles per game, with a high success rate.
Pumas UNAM
Pumas UNAM has a slightly better offensive record, averaging 1.38 goals per match and a possession rate of 52.5%. Their defense is comparable to Juárez, conceding 1.13 goals per game. Pumas UNAM's passing accuracy and successful crosses give them an edge in creating goal-scoring opportunities.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Juárez and Pumas UNAM have been competitive, with both teams having their share of victories. The tactical approach of Juárez often focuses on solid defense and counter-attacks, while Pumas UNAM tends to dominate possession and create chances through their midfield.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Juárez
- Óscar Estupiñán: Top scorer with 3 goals, crucial for Juárez's attacking play.
- Sebastián Jurado: Key defensive player with 211.4 points, vital for maintaining a solid backline.
Pumas UNAM
- Guillermo Martínez: Leading goal scorer with 3 goals, pivotal in Pumas UNAM's offensive strategy.
- Keylor Navas: Experienced goalkeeper with 208.47 points, essential for Pumas UNAM's defense.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Juárez averages 10.13 shots per game, with 2.75 on target.
- Pumas UNAM averages 10.63 shots per game, with 3.38 on target.
- Juárez's expected goals (xG) is 0.98, while Pumas UNAM's is 1.22.
Possession and Passing
- Juárez's passing accuracy is 316 successful passes per game.
- Pumas UNAM's passing accuracy is higher, with 334 successful passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Pumas UNAM appears to have a slight advantage due to their better offensive metrics and passing accuracy. However, Juárez's home advantage and solid defense could play a crucial role in the match outcome.
Final Score Prediction
Juárez 1 - 1 Pumas UNAM
Match-Winning Factors
- Juárez's home advantage and defensive solidity.
- Pumas UNAM's superior passing and offensive capabilities.
In conclusion, this match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having the potential to secure a win. A draw seems likely given the balanced nature of their statistics and form.
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