MATCH OVERVIEW
Juárez and Toluca are gearing up for a pivotal clash in the Liga MX, with both teams eager to make their mark as the season intensifies. Juárez, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage over Toluca, who are known for their strong performances on the road. Scheduled for November 26, 2025, at 21:00 UTC, this match is set to be a key fixture in the league calendar.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds for this match suggest a competitive encounter, with Toluca slightly favored to win. The average odds are 3.38 for Juárez, 3.43 for a draw, and 2.04 for Toluca. This translates to a probability of approximately 29.6% for a Juárez win, 29.2% for a draw, and 49% for a Toluca victory. Given Toluca's strong form this season, they are expected to edge out Juárez, although the home team could spring a surprise.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Juárez has shown resilience this season, with a decent average of 1.58 goals per match and a high Both Teams To Score percentage of 78.95%. Their offensive capabilities are evident, but they have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.68 goals per game. Toluca, on the other hand, boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.53 goals per match, and a solid defense, conceding only 1.06 goals per game. Head-to-head, Toluca has the upper hand, but Juárez's home advantage could play a crucial role.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Juárez will rely heavily on Óscar Estupiñán, who has netted 9 goals this season, to lead their attack. Guilherme Castilho and Rodolfo Pizarro, with 3 goals each, will also be key figures. For Toluca, Paulinho is the standout performer with 12 goals, supported by Alexis Vega and Jesús Gallardo, both contributing significantly to the team's success. The battle between Estupiñán and Paulinho could be decisive.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Juárez's offensive metrics show promise, with an average of 11.05 shots per game and a possession rate of 49.89%. However, their defensive stats, including 1.68 goals conceded per match, highlight vulnerabilities. Toluca excels in both offensive and defensive areas, with 15.76 shots per game and a possession rate of 53.29%. Their ability to control the game and create chances makes them formidable opponents.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Toluca is likely to emerge victorious, given their superior offensive and defensive statistics. Juárez's home advantage and fighting spirit could make the match competitive, but Toluca's consistency and firepower are expected to prevail. Key factors include Toluca's goal-scoring prowess and Juárez's defensive frailties. Final score prediction: Juárez 1-2 Toluca.
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