MATCH OVERVIEW
Mazatlán will host Guadalajara in a pivotal Liga MX match that could have significant implications for both teams' standings in the league. With the season reaching its critical phase, every point matters, and both teams will be eager to capitalize on this opportunity. The match will be held at Mazatlán's home stadium, providing them with a slight advantage in terms of familiar surroundings and fan support.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Mazatlán having a slight edge as the home team. The odds are as follows:
- Home win: 2.26
- Draw: 3.3
- Away win: 2.79
These odds translate to probabilities of approximately 44.25% for a Mazatlán victory, 30.30% for a draw, and 35.85% for a Guadalajara win. The odds indicate a competitive match, with no clear favorite, suggesting that both teams have a fair chance of securing a win.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mazatlán
Mazatlán's season has been a mix of challenges and opportunities. With an average of 0.8 goals per match and a possession rate of 47.13%, they have struggled to dominate games but have shown resilience in defense, conceding 1.17 goals per match. Their ability to intercept and tackle effectively, with averages of 35.67 interceptions and 3.6 successful tackles per match, highlights their defensive strengths.
Guadalajara
Guadalajara, on the other hand, has been more prolific in attack, averaging 1.26 goals per match and maintaining a higher possession rate of 51.77%. Their offensive capabilities are further emphasized by their expected goals of 1.38 per match. Defensively, they have been solid, conceding only 1.06 goals per match, and their ability to control the game through successful passes and key passes is evident.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Guadalajara has had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, but Mazatlán's home advantage could play a crucial role in this fixture. Tactical approaches will be key, with Mazatlán likely focusing on counter-attacks and solid defense, while Guadalajara may aim to control possession and create scoring opportunities.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mazatlán
- Nicolás Benedetti: With 3 goals this season, Benedetti is a key player for Mazatlán, capable of turning the game with his attacking prowess.
- Hugo González: A defensive stalwart, González's performance will be crucial in keeping Guadalajara's attackers at bay.
Guadalajara
- Roberto Alvarado: Leading the team with 8 goals, Alvarado is a significant threat in the attacking third.
- Raúl Rangel: His defensive contributions have been vital, and his ability to organize the backline will be essential.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Mazatlán: Average shots per match stand at 10.37, with 3.33 on target, indicating room for improvement in accuracy.
- Guadalajara: Averaging 11.19 shots per match, with 3.87 on target, they have a slightly better offensive output.
Possession and Passing
- Mazatlán: 387.37 passes per match with a success rate of 318.87.
- Guadalajara: 423.81 passes per match with a success rate of 353.55, showcasing their ability to control the game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data and analysis, the match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having strengths that could lead to victory. Mazatlán's home advantage and defensive resilience could be pivotal, while Guadalajara's attacking prowess and possession control might give them the edge.
Final Score Prediction
- Mazatlán 1-1 Guadalajara
The match could end in a draw, with both teams likely to score, given their offensive capabilities and defensive records. Key factors will include Mazatlán's ability to counter-attack effectively and Guadalajara's control of possession.