Match Overview
Monterrey and Guadalajara are set to face off in a pivotal Liga MX match that could have lasting implications on their season standings. Monterrey, currently enjoying a strong run, will aim to capitalize on their home advantage at Estadio BBVA. Meanwhile, Guadalajara will be eager to upset the hosts and climb the league table.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest Monterrey as the favorites with odds of 1.75, indicating a 57.14% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.44, translating to a 29.07% chance, while Guadalajara's odds of 4.1 suggest a 24.39% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Monterrey is expected to secure the win, but Guadalajara's potential for an upset should not be underestimated.
Team Analysis
Monterrey
- Current Form: Monterrey has played 35 matches this season, showcasing a consistent performance with an average of 1.83 goals per game.
- Strengths: High possession rate (54.46%), strong offensive metrics with 13.29 shots per game, and a solid defensive record with 1.31 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to dangerous own half losses (3.63 per game).
Guadalajara
- Current Form: Guadalajara has played 30 matches, with a lower average goal rate of 1.3 per game.
- Strengths: Effective in duels (100.03 successful duels per game) and a solid defensive setup with 1.07 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Lower offensive output compared to Monterrey.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Monterrey and Guadalajara have had competitive encounters in the past, with Monterrey often having the upper hand due to their offensive prowess.
Tactical Approaches
Monterrey is likely to adopt an attacking strategy, leveraging their high possession and shot metrics. Guadalajara may focus on a counter-attacking approach, utilizing their defensive strengths and successful duels.
Key Players Spotlight
Monterrey
- Germán Berterame: Top scorer with 16 goals, crucial for Monterrey's attacking play.
- Sergio Canales: Contributed 15 goals, adding depth to Monterrey's offensive lineup.
Guadalajara
- Roberto Alvarado: Leading scorer with 8 goals, pivotal in Guadalajara's attack.
- Raúl Rangel: Key defensive player, contributing significantly to Guadalajara's solid backline.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Monterrey averages 1.83 goals per game, while Guadalajara averages 1.3.
- Defensive Metrics: Monterrey concedes 1.31 goals per match, slightly higher than Guadalajara's 1.07.
- Possession and Passing: Monterrey's possession rate of 54.46% and successful passes (411.37) indicate a strong control of the game.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the data, Monterrey is favored to win, given their superior offensive and possession metrics. Key match-winning factors include Monterrey's home advantage and their attacking depth. However, Guadalajara's defensive resilience could pose challenges.
Final Score Prediction: Monterrey 2-1 Guadalajara Half Time Score Prediction: Monterrey 1-0 Guadalajara Probability for Both Teams to Score: 68.57% Probability for Over 2.5 Goals: 60%