Match Overview
The clash between Pachuca and Mazatlán is a significant fixture in the Liga MX calendar, with both teams eager to improve their positions in the league table. Pachuca, playing at home, will be looking to leverage their superior form and statistics to secure a win, while Mazatlán will aim to defy the odds and claim a crucial away victory.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a Pachuca victory, with odds of 1.44 indicating a 69.4% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 4.36, translating to a 22.9% chance, while Mazatlán's odds of 5.5 suggest a 18.2% probability of an away win. Based on these odds, Pachuca is the clear favorite to take all three points.
Team Analysis
Pachuca
- Current Form: Pachuca has shown consistent form this season, with a solid average of 1.27 goals per match and a possession rate of 51.42%.
- Strengths: Strong offensive metrics with 13.5 shots per game and a high successful dribble rate of 22.12.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.54 goals per match.
Mazatlán
- Current Form: Mazatlán has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.74 goals per match.
- Strengths: Defensive resilience with a lower average of 1.15 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Limited attacking threat, reflected in their low shots on target average of 3.41.
Head-to-Head
Pachuca and Mazatlán have faced each other multiple times, with Pachuca generally having the upper hand in recent encounters. This historical advantage, combined with their current form, positions them as favorites.
Tactical Approaches
Pachuca is likely to adopt an attacking approach, utilizing their high possession and shot metrics to dominate the game. Mazatlán, on the other hand, may focus on a counter-attacking strategy, relying on their defensive solidity to frustrate the home side.
Key Players Spotlight
Pachuca
- Salomón Rondón: A key figure with 8 goals this season, Rondón's ability to find the net will be crucial.
- John Kennedy: Another significant contributor with 6 goals, his partnership with Rondón could be decisive.
Mazatlán
- Nicolás Benedetti: With 2 goals, Benedetti will be vital in any attacking plays Mazatlán can muster.
- Hugo González: A standout performer in defense, his role will be critical in keeping Pachuca at bay.
Statistical Deep Dive
Offensive Metrics
- Pachuca: Averaging 1.27 goals and 13.5 shots per game, with a 57.69% over 2.5 goals rate.
- Mazatlán: Averaging 0.74 goals and 10.56 shots per game, with a 33.33% over 2.5 goals rate.
Defensive Metrics
- Pachuca: Conceding 1.54 goals per game, with a strong interception rate of 37.35.
- Mazatlán: Conceding 1.15 goals per game, with a solid interception rate of 36.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Pachuca is expected to secure a victory in this encounter. Key factors include their superior offensive capabilities and home advantage. Mazatlán's defensive strengths may limit the scoreline, but Pachuca's attacking prowess should see them through.
Final Score Prediction: Pachuca 2-0 Mazatlán Half Time Score Prediction: Pachuca 1-0 Mazatlán Both Teams to Score Probability: 40% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%