MATCH OVERVIEW
AZ will face Groningen in a pivotal Dutch Eredivisie match at the AFAS Stadion. As the season approaches its end, AZ is determined to maintain their impressive form and secure a top position in the league. Meanwhile, Groningen is looking to defy the odds and improve their standing. The match is scheduled for May 11, 2025, at 14:45, and promises to be a captivating contest.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor AZ with a 1.43 chance of winning, translating to a 69.9% probability. A draw is less likely at 4.57, with a 21.9% chance, while Groningen's odds of 7.1 suggest a 14.1% probability of victory. Based on these odds, AZ is expected to dominate, but Groningen could surprise if they capitalize on key opportunities.
TEAM ANALYSIS
AZ has been consistent this season, averaging 1.6 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 53.17%. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by 13.53 shots per game, with 5.13 on target. Defensively, AZ concedes 1.13 goals per match, supported by strong interceptions and clearances.
Groningen, on the other hand, averages 1.07 goals per match and a possession rate of 46.9%. Their defense has been less robust, conceding 1.5 goals per game. Groningen's ability to intercept and clear the ball will be crucial in countering AZ's attacks.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
AZ's Troy Parrott, with 14 goals this season, is a key player to watch. His ability to find the net will be vital for AZ's success. Sven Mijnans and Ibrahim Sadiq also contribute significantly to AZ's offensive efforts.
For Groningen, Marco Rente and Jorg Schreuders are pivotal. Schreuders, with 5 goals, will be essential in breaking through AZ's defense. The performance of Hjalmar Ekdal and Marvin Peersman will also be crucial in maintaining defensive stability.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
AZ's offensive metrics, including 1.57 expected goals and 5.97 corners per match, indicate a strong attacking strategy. Their defensive metrics, such as 39.5 interceptions, highlight their ability to disrupt opposition play.
Groningen's expected goals of 1.08 and 4.33 corners per match suggest a more conservative approach. Their defensive statistics, including 40.93 interceptions, will be key in countering AZ's attacks.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
AZ is favored to win, given their superior form and statistical advantages. Key factors include their offensive strength and ability to control possession. Groningen's chances hinge on exploiting AZ's defensive lapses and maximizing their own attacking opportunities.
Final Score Prediction: AZ 2-1 Groningen Half Time Score Prediction: AZ 1-0 Groningen Probability of Both Teams to Score: 56.67% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 56.67%