MATCH OVERVIEW
Feyenoord will welcome NEC to De Kuip for an exciting Eredivisie clash on March 1, 2025, at 20:00. This match is crucial for Feyenoord as they aim to maintain their position at the top of the table, while NEC looks to climb the standings and secure a spot in European competitions. The atmosphere at De Kuip is expected to be electric, with fans eagerly anticipating a high-stakes encounter.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are heavily in favor of Feyenoord, with a home win priced at 1.48, a draw at 4.54, and an away win for NEC at 6.31. These odds suggest a 67.6% probability of a Feyenoord victory, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 15.8% likelihood of an NEC win. Given Feyenoord's strong home form and superior squad depth, the odds reflect a high expectation for a home win.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Feyenoord has been in impressive form this season, averaging 2.09 goals per match and boasting a possession rate of 60.7%. Their attacking prowess is highlighted by an average of 15.7 shots per game and an expected goals (xG) of 1.89. Defensively, they have been solid, conceding only 1.17 goals per match with an expected goals against (xGA) of 1.03.
NEC, on the other hand, has shown resilience with an average of 1.48 goals per game and a possession rate of 50.87%. They have been effective in duels, averaging 209.74 per match, and have a slightly higher xGA of 1.27, indicating potential vulnerabilities in defense.
Head-to-head, Feyenoord has historically dominated this fixture, and their current form suggests they are likely to continue this trend. Tactically, Feyenoord's high pressing and quick transitions could exploit NEC's defensive weaknesses.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
For Feyenoord, Santiago Gimenez has been a standout performer with 7 goals this season, supported by Igor Paixão and Quinten Timber, each contributing 6 goals. Their attacking trio will be crucial in breaking down NEC's defense.
NEC will rely on Koki Ogawa, who has matched Gimenez's goal tally with 7 goals. Sami Ouaissa and Vito van Crooij, both with 6 goals, will also be key in NEC's attacking efforts.
The midfield battle will be pivotal, with Feyenoord's In-beom Hwang and NEC's Calvin Verdonk expected to play significant roles in controlling the tempo of the game.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Feyenoord's offensive metrics are superior, with an average of 6.22 shots on target per game compared to NEC's 4.61. Defensively, Feyenoord's lower xGA and higher possession indicate a more controlled and disciplined approach.
NEC's strength lies in their dueling ability, with a higher average of successful duels per match. However, their defensive metrics, such as higher conceded goals and xGA, suggest they may struggle against Feyenoord's potent attack.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Feyenoord is expected to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Their home advantage and superior squad depth make them favorites to secure a victory. Key factors such as Santiago Gimenez's form and Feyenoord's defensive solidity will likely be decisive.
Final Score Prediction: Feyenoord 3-1 NEC Half Time Score Prediction: Feyenoord 1-0 NEC Probability of Both Teams to Score: 70% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 61%