MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Ekstraklasa match between Piast Gliwice and Pogoń Szczecin is set to be a pivotal encounter in the Polish top flight. Both teams are looking to solidify their positions in the league, making this match crucial for their respective campaigns. The game will be held at the Stadion Miejski in Gliwice, with kickoff scheduled for 12:45 PM on April 13, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Pogoń Szczecin slightly favored at 2.44, compared to Piast Gliwice's 2.6. The draw is priced at 2.95, indicating a balanced probability for all outcomes. The odds imply a 38.5% chance for a Pogoń Szczecin win, a 35.7% chance for a Piast Gliwice victory, and a 33.9% probability for a draw. Given these odds, a narrow win for Pogoń Szczecin seems the most likely outcome.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Piast Gliwice
- Current Form: Piast Gliwice has shown resilience this season, with an average of 1 goal per match and a possession rate of 48.19%.
- Strengths: Their defensive solidity is highlighted by an average of 1.07 goals conceded per game and a strong interception rate of 39.26.
- Weaknesses: Offensively, they struggle with a low assist rate of 0.37 and a modest expected goals (xG) of 1.17.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Piast Gliwice has had mixed results against Pogoń Szczecin, making this encounter unpredictable.
Pogoń Szczecin
- Current Form: Pogoń Szczecin boasts a more potent attack, averaging 1.67 goals per game and a higher possession rate of 54.48%.
- Strengths: Their offensive prowess is supported by an xG of 1.92 and a solid passing game with 459.85 average passes per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensively, they have a slightly higher expected goals against (xGA) of 1.32, which could be exploited by Piast Gliwice.
- Head-to-Head: Pogoń Szczecin has often been competitive against Piast Gliwice, adding intrigue to this matchup.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Piast Gliwice
- Jorge Félix: With 7 goals this season, Félix is a key offensive threat for Piast Gliwice.
- Erik Jirka: A consistent performer with 189.69 points, Jirka's creativity will be crucial.
Pogoń Szczecin
- Efthymios Koulouris: Leading the scoring charts with 20 goals, Koulouris is a formidable striker.
- Kamil Grosicki: His experience and 5 goals add depth to Pogoń Szczecin's attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Pogoń Szczecin leads with 14.07 shots per game compared to Piast Gliwice's 11.85.
- Defensive Metrics: Piast Gliwice's defense is slightly more robust, with fewer goals conceded on average.
- Passing and Possession: Pogoń Szczecin's superior passing accuracy and possession could dictate the game's tempo.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Pogoń Szczecin appears to have a slight edge over Piast Gliwice. Their superior attacking metrics and possession stats could prove decisive. However, Piast Gliwice's defensive capabilities should not be underestimated. The match-winning factors will likely hinge on Pogoń Szczecin's ability to convert chances and Piast Gliwice's defensive resilience.
Final Score Prediction: Pogoń Szczecin 2-1 Piast Gliwice Half Time Score Prediction: Pogoń Szczecin 1-0 Piast Gliwice Both Teams to Score Probability: 60% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%