MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Ekstraklasa match between Pogoń Szczecin and Lechia Gdańsk is set to be a crucial fixture in the Polish football calendar. With Pogoń Szczecin currently holding a strong position in the league, they will be eager to secure a victory at home to solidify their standing. Meanwhile, Lechia Gdańsk will be looking to upset the hosts and climb the table. The match will be held at the Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, kicking off at 12:45 PM on May 17, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a favorable outcome for Pogoń Szczecin, with odds of 1.6 indicating a 62.5% probability of a home win. The draw is priced at 3.91, translating to a 25.6% chance, while Lechia Gdańsk's odds of 4.63 suggest a 21.6% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Pogoń Szczecin is expected to dominate, but the possibility of a draw or an upset cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Pogoń Szczecin
Pogoń Szczecin has been impressive this season, averaging 1.68 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 55.97%. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by their 14.26 shots per game, with 5.29 on target. Defensively, they concede 1.16 goals per match, supported by 38.58 interceptions. Their tactical approach focuses on maintaining possession and creating scoring opportunities through effective dribbling and passing.
Lechia Gdańsk
Lechia Gdańsk, on the other hand, averages 1.22 goals per match with a possession rate of 47.84%. They have shown resilience in duels, winning 99.69 on average per game. However, their defense has been vulnerable, conceding 1.66 goals per match. Their strategy often involves counter-attacking, utilizing their dribbling skills and quick transitions.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Pogoń Szczecin has had the upper hand in this fixture, often leveraging their home advantage. However, Lechia Gdańsk has managed to pull off surprises in past encounters, making this match unpredictable.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Pogoń Szczecin
- Efthymios Koulouris: With 25 goals this season, Koulouris is a key threat in attack.
- Kamil Grosicki: His experience and 5 goals add depth to the squad.
Lechia Gdańsk
- Tomas Bobcek: Leading the team with 8 goals, Bobcek is crucial for their offensive play.
- Bogdan Viunnyk: His 7 goals make him a significant player to watch.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Pogoń Szczecin: Strong in possession (55.97%) and shots (14.26 per game), they have a solid offensive and defensive balance.
- Lechia Gdańsk: Despite lower possession (47.84%), their dribbling success (17.44) and duels won (99.69) highlight their competitive edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and odds, Pogoń Szczecin is favored to win, leveraging their home advantage and superior form. Key factors include their offensive prowess and defensive stability. However, Lechia Gdańsk's ability to counter-attack could pose challenges. Final score prediction: Pogoń Szczecin 2-1 Lechia Gdańsk.