MATCH OVERVIEW
Vitória Guimarães will host Rio Ave in a pivotal Primeira Liga match that could shape the trajectory of their season. With both teams vying for crucial points, the stakes are high as they meet at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques. Scheduled for April 27, 2025, at 17:00, this match is set to be a captivating contest.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a favorable outcome for Vitória Guimarães, with odds of 1.66 for a home win. The probability of a draw stands at 3.68, while Rio Ave's chances of an away victory are pegged at 4.78. These odds indicate a 60.2% chance for Vitória Guimarães to secure a win, a 27.2% probability for a draw, and a 20.9% chance for Rio Ave to triumph.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Vitória Guimarães has shown solid form this season, averaging 1.46 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 54.93%. Their defensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 1 goal conceded per game and a strong interception rate of 37.79. In contrast, Rio Ave has struggled defensively, conceding 1.62 goals per match, but they have a higher Both Teams To Score percentage at 55.17%, indicating potential for an open game.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Vitória Guimarães will rely on Gustavo Silva, who has netted 6 goals this season, and Tiago Silva, contributing 4 goals. Rio Ave's Clayton, with 13 goals, will be a key threat. The matchup between Clayton and Vitória's defense could be decisive in determining the outcome.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Vitória Guimarães boasts superior possession and passing accuracy, with 460.64 passes per game and a success rate of 385.61. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.53 surpass Rio Ave's 1.06, indicating a stronger offensive presence. However, Rio Ave's higher dribble success rate and duels won suggest they could challenge Vitória's defense.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Vitória Guimarães is likely to dominate possession and create more scoring opportunities. Their defensive solidity and home advantage make them favorites to win. Key factors include their ability to neutralize Clayton and capitalize on their superior passing game. Final score prediction: Vitória Guimarães 2-1 Rio Ave.