MATCH OVERVIEW
Dundee and Falkirk are set to clash in a highly anticipated Scottish Premiership match at Dens Park. Scheduled for December 27, 2025, at 3:00 PM, this encounter is pivotal for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league. Dundee, currently struggling to find consistent form, will be eager to leverage their home advantage against a Falkirk side that has shown resilience on the road.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Falkirk slightly favored at 2.39 compared to Dundee's 2.92. The draw is priced at 3.13, indicating a competitive match-up. The probabilities derived from these odds suggest a 34.25% chance for a Dundee win, a 31.95% chance for a draw, and a 41.84% chance for a Falkirk victory. Given these odds, Falkirk appears to have a slight edge, but the match could swing either way.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Dundee
Dundee's season has been marked by inconsistency, with an average of 0.83 goals per match and a concerning 1.78 goals conceded per game. Their possession rate of 40.33% indicates a struggle to control matches, often relying on counter-attacks. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, with an expected goals against (xGA) of 1.57.
Falkirk
Falkirk, on the other hand, has shown more promise with an average of 1.11 goals per match and a better defensive record, conceding 1.44 goals per game. Their possession rate of 49.67% allows them to dictate play more effectively. Falkirk's offensive and defensive ratings are superior to Dundee's, suggesting a more balanced team.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two sides have been tightly contested, with neither team dominating the other. This adds an extra layer of intrigue to the upcoming fixture.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Dundee
- Jon McCracken: A key figure in defense, McCracken's performance will be crucial in keeping Falkirk at bay.
- Clark Robertson: With 2 goals this season, Robertson will be looking to add to his tally.
Falkirk
- Brian Graham: Leading the scoring charts for Falkirk with 4 goals, Graham's form will be pivotal.
- Brad Spencer: A consistent performer, Spencer's midfield presence is vital for Falkirk's control of the game.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Dundee: Average 7.33 shots per game with a conversion rate that needs improvement.
- Falkirk: Average 9.33 shots per game, with a higher success rate in front of goal.
- Defensive Metrics: Falkirk's defensive rating of 399.95 outshines Dundee's 272.19, highlighting a potential area of dominance.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Falkirk holds a slight advantage heading into this match. Their superior offensive and defensive metrics, coupled with a more balanced team performance, suggest they could edge out a victory. However, Dundee's home advantage and potential for a surprise performance cannot be discounted.
Final Score Prediction: Dundee 1-2 Falkirk Half Time Score Prediction: Dundee 0-1 Falkirk Both Teams to Score Probability: 50% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 55%
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