Match Overview
Dundee and St. Johnstone face off in a crucial Scottish Premiership match that could shape their respective seasons. Both teams are looking to secure vital points to improve their league positions, making this encounter at Dens Park a must-watch for fans and analysts alike.
Odds Analysis
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Dundee, with odds of 2.19 for a home win, compared to 3.34 for a draw and 3.3 for a St. Johnstone victory. This translates to a probability of approximately 45.7% for a Dundee win, 29.9% for a draw, and 30.3% for a St. Johnstone win. The odds indicate a closely contested match, with Dundee having a marginal advantage.
Team Analysis
Dundee
- Current Form: Dundee has shown a mixed form this season, with an average of 1.43 goals per match and a concerning 2.14 goals conceded per game.
- Strengths: High percentage of over 2.5 goals (75%) and both teams to score (71.43%) suggest an attacking mindset.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities with an average of 2.14 goals conceded and 1.77 expected goals against.
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Dundee has had competitive encounters with St. Johnstone, making this match unpredictable.
St. Johnstone
- Current Form: St. Johnstone averages 1.11 goals per match and concedes 1.89, indicating a slightly more balanced but still vulnerable defense.
- Strengths: Better possession stats (53.46%) and passing accuracy, with 357.57 successful passes per game.
- Weaknesses: Lower goal-scoring rate and a tendency to concede goals.
- Head-to-Head: Matches against Dundee have been closely fought, with no clear dominance.
Key Players Spotlight
- Dundee: Simon Murray, with 10 goals, is a key offensive threat. Luke McCowan and Lyall Cameron also contribute significantly to the team's attacking play.
- St. Johnstone: Nicky Clark, Makenzie Kirk, and Benjamin Kimpioka, each with 6 goals, are crucial for St. Johnstone's attacking prospects.
- Matchups: The battle between Dundee's Simon Murray and St. Johnstone's defensive line will be pivotal.
Statistical Deep Dive
- Offensive Metrics: Dundee averages more shots (9.36) compared to St. Johnstone (8.89), but both teams have similar shots on target.
- Defensive Metrics: St. Johnstone has a slight edge in defensive stability with fewer goals conceded and better expected goals against.
- Possession and Passing: St. Johnstone's superior possession and passing accuracy could be decisive in controlling the game's tempo.
Prediction and Conclusion
Based on the analysis, Dundee's attacking prowess and home advantage give them a slight edge. However, St. Johnstone's defensive resilience and possession play could counterbalance Dundee's strengths. Key factors will include Simon Murray's form and St. Johnstone's ability to maintain possession.
Final Score Prediction: Dundee 2-1 St. Johnstone Half Time Score Prediction: Dundee 1-0 St. Johnstone Both Teams to Score Probability: 70% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 65%