MATCH OVERVIEW
St. Mirren and Hibernian are gearing up for a crucial Scottish Premiership match that could significantly impact their standings this season. St. Mirren, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the SMISA Stadium to secure a vital win. Meanwhile, Hibernian aims to capitalize on their slightly better form and odds to claim victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds suggest a closely contested match, with Hibernian slightly favored at 2.46 compared to St. Mirren's 2.73. The draw is priced at 3.27, indicating a competitive game. The probabilities derived from these odds are approximately 36.6% for a St. Mirren win, 30.6% for a draw, and 40.7% for a Hibernian victory.
TEAM ANALYSIS
St. Mirren
- Current Form: St. Mirren has played 10 matches this season, with a modest goal average of 0.8 per game.
- Strengths: Their defensive capabilities are highlighted by an average of 41.2 interceptions per match.
- Weaknesses: Offensive struggles are evident with only 0.4 assists per game.
Hibernian
- Current Form: Hibernian has played 11 matches, scoring an average of 1.64 goals per game.
- Strengths: Their offensive prowess is supported by 12.82 shots per game.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are shown by conceding 1.27 goals per match.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Hibernian has had the upper hand in recent encounters, but St. Mirren's home advantage could play a crucial role.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
St. Mirren
- Shamal George: A key figure in defense with 255.83 points this season.
- M. Freckleton: Contributed 2 goals, crucial for St. Mirren's attack.
Hibernian
- Jamie McGrath: Leading scorer with 4 goals, pivotal in Hibernian's offensive strategy.
- Kieron Bowie: A significant threat with 3 goals this season.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Hibernian's 1.79 expected goals per game surpass St. Mirren's 1.05.
- Defensive Metrics: St. Mirren's interceptions are higher, indicating a stronger defensive setup.
- Possession: Hibernian's 49.36% possession suggests better control compared to St. Mirren's 44.6%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Hibernian appears to have a slight edge due to their superior offensive statistics and recent form. However, St. Mirren's home advantage and defensive capabilities could make this a tightly contested match.
Final Score Prediction: 1-2 in favor of Hibernian. Half Time Score Prediction: 0-1 in favor of Hibernian. Both Teams to Score Probability: 63% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%
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