MATCH OVERVIEW
St. Mirren and Hibernian are gearing up for a thrilling Premiership clash that promises to be a pivotal moment in the season. As the teams meet at the SMISA Stadium, the stakes are high, with both sides eager to improve their standings. St. Mirren, playing at home, will be keen to leverage their familiarity with the venue, while Hibernian seeks to disrupt their plans with a strong away performance.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with St. Mirren's odds at 2.55, indicating a 39.22% chance of winning. Hibernian's odds are slightly higher at 2.83, translating to a 35.34% probability of victory. The draw is priced at 3.25, offering a 30.77% chance. These odds reflect the competitive nature of the fixture, with no clear favorite.
TEAM ANALYSIS
St. Mirren
St. Mirren's season has been marked by solid performances, with an average of 1.39 goals per match and a possession rate of 44.14%. Their defensive stats show 1.56 goals conceded per game, highlighting areas for improvement. Key strengths include their duels, averaging 224.03 per match, and successful dribbles at 14.42.
Hibernian
Hibernian boasts a slightly better goal average at 1.61 per match and a higher possession rate of 46.06%. Their defense is more robust, conceding 1.28 goals per game. Hibernian's offensive capabilities are underscored by their 11.17 shots per match and a strong CompaScore Offensive Rating of 597.7.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these teams have been competitive, with both sides having their share of victories. The tactical approaches will likely focus on exploiting weaknesses, with St. Mirren aiming to counter Hibernian's possession-based strategy.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
St. Mirren
- Toyosi Olusanya: Leading the scoring charts with 8 goals, Olusanya is crucial to St. Mirren's attacking play.
- Marcus Fraser: A defensive stalwart, Fraser's 196.91 points highlight his importance in maintaining stability.
Hibernian
- Martin Boyle: With 13 goals, Boyle is Hibernian's top scorer and a constant threat in the final third.
- Nectarios Triantis: His 182.5 points reflect a strong season, contributing significantly to Hibernian's defense.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- St. Mirren: Average 10.53 shots per game, with 4.03 on target.
- Hibernian: Slightly higher at 11.17 shots, matching St. Mirren's accuracy.
Defensive Metrics
- St. Mirren: Concede 1.56 goals per match, with 41.33 interceptions.
- Hibernian: Concede fewer goals at 1.28, with 43.14 interceptions.
Possession and Passing
- St. Mirren: 44.14% possession, 290.64 passes per game.
- Hibernian: 46.06% possession, 331.31 passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is expected to be closely contested. St. Mirren's home advantage and Hibernian's superior offensive metrics suggest a balanced game. Key factors will include St. Mirren's ability to disrupt Hibernian's possession and capitalize on counter-attacks.
Final Score Prediction
A 2-2 draw seems likely, given the teams' scoring capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams are expected to score, with a high probability of over 2.5 goals.