MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Copa Sudamericana match between Atlético Grau and Independiente del Valle is set to be a captivating contest. Atlético Grau, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue to gain an advantage. Meanwhile, Independiente del Valle aims to upset the hosts and continue their pursuit of glory in the competition. This match is pivotal for both teams as they seek to advance further in the tournament.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a competitive game, with Atlético Grau favored at 1.67, indicating a 59.88% probability of winning. The draw is priced at 3.45, offering a 28.99% chance, while Independiente del Valle is the underdog at 5.34, with an 18.73% probability of victory. Based on these odds, Atlético Grau is expected to have the upper hand, but the possibility of a draw remains significant.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Atlético Grau
- Current Form: Atlético Grau has shown moderate form this season, with an average of 0.71 goals per match and a possession rate of 53.43%.
- Strengths: Their ability to maintain possession and execute successful dribbles (9.29 per match) are key strengths.
- Weaknesses: Scoring has been a challenge, with only 0.71 goals per game.
Independiente del Valle
- Current Form: Independiente del Valle boasts a stronger offensive presence, averaging 1.43 goals per match and a possession rate of 56.43%.
- Strengths: Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by 5.71 shots on target per match.
- Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities are evident with 0.86 goals conceded per game.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had limited encounters, making this match an intriguing prospect as they aim to establish dominance.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Atlético Grau
- Neri Bandiera: With 2 goals this season, Bandiera is a crucial player for Atlético Grau.
- Rodrigo Vilca: His ability to score and create opportunities will be vital.
Independiente del Valle
- Michael Hoyos: Leading the team with 3 goals, Hoyos is a key offensive threat.
- Claudio Spinelli: Also with 3 goals, Spinelli's performance will be pivotal.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Independiente del Valle's 1.71 expected goals per match surpass Atlético Grau's 0.7, indicating a stronger attacking force.
- Defensive Metrics: Atlético Grau's defensive rating of 248.69 suggests a more robust defense compared to Independiente del Valle's 329.18.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams exhibit strong possession, but Independiente del Valle's passing accuracy (354.71 successful passes) gives them an edge.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Given the statistical insights and odds, Atlético Grau is favored to win, but Independiente del Valle's offensive prowess cannot be underestimated. Key factors such as home advantage and defensive solidity will play a crucial role.
Final Score Prediction
- Atlético Grau 2-1 Independiente del Valle
Half Time Score Prediction
- Atlético Grau 1-0 Independiente del Valle
Probability Insights
- Home Win Probability: 59.88%
- Away Win Probability: 18.73%
- Draw Probability: 28.99%
- Both Teams to Score Probability: 42.86%
- Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 28.57%
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