MATCH OVERVIEW
Cartagena and Mirandés are set to clash in a high-stakes La Liga 2 match that could significantly impact their season standings. With Mirandés currently holding a stronger position in the league, they will be looking to capitalize on their form and secure a victory. Meanwhile, Cartagena will aim to leverage their home advantage to upset the odds and finish the season positively. The match will take place at Cartagena's home stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:30 on June 1, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds heavily favor Mirandés, with an average of 1.28 for an away win, indicating a strong probability of victory. Cartagena, on the other hand, faces long odds at 9.48, suggesting a challenging match ahead. The draw is priced at 4.97, reflecting a moderate chance of a stalemate. Based on these odds, Mirandés is expected to dominate, but Cartagena's home advantage could play a crucial role in altering the expected outcome.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Cartagena
Cartagena's season has been marked by inconsistency, with an average of 0.8 goals per match and a possession rate of 40.7%. Their defensive vulnerabilities are evident, conceding an average of 1.85 goals per game. Despite these challenges, Cartagena has shown resilience, with a 50% rate of both teams scoring in their matches.
Mirandés
Mirandés has been more consistent, averaging 1.37 goals per match and maintaining a possession rate of 46.15%. Their defense has been solid, conceding only 0.95 goals per game. Mirandés' offensive capabilities are highlighted by their higher expected goals (1.45) and successful dribbles (13.68).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Mirandés has had the upper hand in this fixture, often outplaying Cartagena with their tactical prowess and superior squad depth. Cartagena will need to focus on their defensive organization and capitalize on counter-attacks to challenge Mirandés.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Cartagena
- Álex Millán: Leading scorer with 5 goals, crucial for Cartagena's attacking play.
- Pablo Cuñat: Key defensive player, with 186.59 points this season.
Mirandés
- Joaquín Panichelli: Top scorer with 20 goals, a constant threat to any defense.
- Jon Gorrotxategi: Vital in midfield, contributing significantly to Mirandés' control of the game.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Cartagena: Average 7.6 shots per game, with 2.93 on target.
- Mirandés: Average 10.78 shots per game, with 3.8 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Cartagena: Concede 1.85 goals per game, with 4.43 goalkeeper saves.
- Mirandés: Concede 0.95 goals per game, with 2.59 goalkeeper saves.
Possession and Passing
- Cartagena: Average 326.75 passes per game, with 260.5 successful.
- Mirandés: Average 331.98 passes per game, with 261.8 successful.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Mirandés is likely to dominate the match given their superior form and statistical advantages. Cartagena's home advantage could provide some resistance, but Mirandés' offensive strength and solid defense are expected to secure them a win. Key factors will include Mirandés' ability to convert chances and Cartagena's defensive organization.
Final Score Prediction: Cartagena 0-2 Mirandés Half Time Score Prediction: Cartagena 0-1 Mirandés Both Teams to Score Probability: 40% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 60%