MATCH OVERVIEW
Leganés and Almería are set to face off in a pivotal La Liga 2 match that could have lasting implications for their respective campaigns. Leganés, playing at home, will look to leverage their defensive solidity against an Almería side known for their attacking prowess. The Estadio Municipal de Butarque will be the battleground for this exciting clash, with kickoff scheduled for 17:30 on November 22, 2025.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested affair, with Leganés slightly favored at 2.3, while Almería's odds stand at 2.67, and a draw is priced at 2.99. This indicates a competitive match where the home advantage could play a crucial role. The probabilities derived from these odds suggest a 43.5% chance for Leganés to win, a 33.4% chance for Almería, and a 33.1% chance for a draw.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Leganés
Leganés have shown a solid defensive performance this season, conceding only 0.85 goals per match. Their possession rate of 51.31% and expected goals of 1.4 highlight their ability to control the game and create scoring opportunities. However, their goal-scoring has been modest, averaging 0.92 goals per match.
Almería
Almería, on the other hand, have been more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.92 goals per match. Their possession rate of 52.42% and expected goals of 1.58 indicate a strong offensive setup. However, they have conceded 1.5 goals per match, which could be a vulnerability against a disciplined Leganés side.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Leganés
- Marvel: With 151.5 points, Marvel has been a standout performer, contributing significantly to Leganés' defensive stability.
- Duk: Scoring 2 goals this season, Duk's ability to find the net could be crucial.
Almería
- Adrián Embarba: Leading the scoring charts with 6 goals, Embarba's attacking threat will be pivotal for Almería.
- Sergio Arribas: With 5 goals, Arribas complements Embarba in Almería's potent attack.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive and Defensive Metrics
- Leganés: Average shots per match stand at 10.69, with 4.31 on target, showcasing their efficiency in front of goal.
- Almería: Averaging 15.17 shots per match, with 5.67 on target, Almería's offensive capabilities are evident.
Possession and Passing
- Leganés: Successful passes average 318.38, indicating a solid passing game.
- Almería: With 378.75 successful passes, Almería's midfield control is a key strength.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, this match is likely to be closely contested, with Leganés' defensive strength countering Almería's attacking flair. The home advantage could tilt the balance slightly in favor of Leganés. Key factors such as Marvel's defensive contributions and Embarba's goal-scoring prowess will be decisive.
Final Score Prediction: Leganés 1-1 Almería Half Time Score Prediction: Leganés 0-0 Almería Probability of Both Teams to Score: 60% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 45%
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