MATCH OVERVIEW
Mallorca and Deportivo Alavés are gearing up for an exciting La Liga showdown at the Iberostar Stadium. Scheduled for March 2, 2025, at 17:30 GMT, this match holds substantial importance for both teams as they aim to climb the league table. Mallorca, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the pitch, while Alavés will be eager to secure points on the road.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match are set at 2.49 for a Mallorca win, 2.88 for a draw, and 3.42 for an Alavés victory. These odds suggest a closely contested match, with Mallorca slightly favored due to their home advantage. The probability of a home win stands at approximately 40.2%, a draw at 34.7%, and an away win at 29.2%. Based on these odds, a narrow victory for Mallorca seems the most likely outcome.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mallorca
Mallorca's current form shows a mixed bag of results, with an average of 0.96 goals per game and a possession rate of 47.24%. Their defense has been relatively solid, conceding 1.24 goals per match. Key strengths include their dueling ability, with 201.96 duels per game, and a decent passing game, averaging 369.96 passes per match. However, their offensive output needs improvement, as indicated by their low goal-scoring rate.
Deportivo Alavés
Alavés, on the other hand, has been slightly more prolific in front of goal, averaging 1.12 goals per game. They possess a slightly lower possession rate at 45.76% but excel in duels, averaging 214.16 per match. Their defense has been more porous, conceding 1.56 goals per game. Alavés will need to tighten their defense to withstand Mallorca's home pressure.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two sides have been tightly contested, with neither team dominating the other. This trend is likely to continue, given their current form and statistics.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mallorca
- Vedat Muriqi: With 6 goals this season, Muriqi is Mallorca's top scorer and a crucial player in their attacking setup.
- Antonio Raíllo: A key defensive figure, Raíllo's leadership at the back will be vital.
Deportivo Alavés
- Kike García: The standout performer for Alavés, García has netted 10 goals this season, making him a significant threat.
- Carles Aleñá: His creativity in midfield will be essential for Alavés to break down Mallorca's defense.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Mallorca: Average 8.8 shots per game with a shot accuracy of 35.5% (3.12 on target).
- Deportivo Alavés: Average 9.16 shots per game with a slightly higher accuracy of 37.1% (3.4 on target).
- Defensive Metrics: Mallorca averages 41.36 interceptions per game, while Alavés averages 38.32, indicating a slight defensive edge for Mallorca.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the statistical analysis and current form, Mallorca is slightly favored to win this encounter, especially with their home advantage. Key factors such as Muriqi's goal-scoring ability and Raíllo's defensive leadership could tip the scales in their favor. However, Alavés' Kike García poses a significant threat that Mallorca must neutralize. Expect a closely fought match with Mallorca edging out a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: Mallorca 2-1 Deportivo Alavés