MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Allsvenskan match between Mjällby and Värnamo is set to take place at the Strandvallen, with a kickoff time of 14:30 on June 1, 2025. This fixture is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league. Mjällby, currently enjoying a strong season, will look to leverage their home advantage, while Värnamo aims to defy the odds and secure a valuable away victory.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a strong likelihood of a Mjällby victory, with odds of 1.55 for the home win. The probability of a draw stands at 4.12, while an away win for Värnamo is considered less likely at 5.35. These odds translate to a 64.5% chance of a Mjällby win, a 24.3% chance of a draw, and an 18.7% chance of a Värnamo victory. Based on these figures, Mjällby is the clear favorite to take all three points.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Mjällby
- Current Form: Mjällby has been impressive this season, with an average of 2.18 goals per match and a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.91 goals per game.
- Strengths: High possession rate (52.27%), effective dribbling (13 successful dribbles per match), and strong defensive capabilities.
- Weaknesses: Occasional lapses in concentration leading to dangerous own half losses (6.55 per match).
- Head-to-Head: Historically, Mjällby has had the upper hand in encounters with Värnamo.
Värnamo
- Current Form: Värnamo has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, but they have shown resilience with a 72.73% both teams to score rate.
- Strengths: High dribble success rate (17.91 per match) and a decent number of corners (6.27 per match).
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable defense and lower goal-scoring rate (1 goal per match).
- Head-to-Head: Värnamo will need to overcome past challenges against Mjällby to secure a positive result.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Mjällby
- Abdoulie Manneh: Top scorer with 6 goals, crucial in Mjällby's attacking play.
- Nicklas Röjkjaer: Contributed 5 goals, providing additional firepower.
Värnamo
- Frank Junior Adjei: Key player with 2 goals, vital for Värnamo's offensive efforts.
- Ajdin Zeljkovic: Another important figure in attack, also with 2 goals.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Mjällby averages 11.73 shots per match with 4.45 on target, while Värnamo averages 11.55 shots with 3.73 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Mjällby boasts a better defensive record with fewer goals conceded and higher interception rates.
- Possession and Passing: Mjällby leads in possession (52.27%) and successful passes (417.82 per match) compared to Värnamo's 49.55% possession and 352.73 successful passes.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Mjällby is expected to dominate the match, leveraging their superior offensive and defensive capabilities. Key factors such as home advantage, stronger goal-scoring record, and defensive solidity make them favorites to win. Värnamo will need to improve defensively and capitalize on counter-attacks to challenge Mjällby.
Final Score Prediction: Mjällby 2-1 Värnamo Half Time Score Prediction: Mjällby 1-0 Värnamo Both Teams to Score Probability: 72.73% Over 2.5 Goals Probability: 63.64%