MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming Superettan match between Trelleborg and Umeå is poised to be a significant fixture in the league calendar. Trelleborg, currently enjoying a better season, will host Umeå at their home ground, where they have shown resilience and determination. Scheduled for August 10th at 13:00, this match is crucial for both teams as they strive to improve their standings and make a push towards the top of the table.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The odds favor Trelleborg with a 1.49 chance of winning, indicating a strong probability of a home victory. The draw is priced at 3.81, while Umeå's chances are slimmer at 5.28. These odds suggest a 67% probability for Trelleborg to win, a 26% chance for a draw, and a 19% likelihood for Umeå to secure an upset. Given Trelleborg's home advantage and current form, they are expected to dominate the match.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Trelleborg
- Current Form: Trelleborg has played 17 matches this season, with a moderate success rate in terms of goals and possession.
- Strengths: Their possession rate of 50.65% and expected goals of 1.33 indicate a balanced approach.
- Weaknesses: They have a low Both Teams To Score percentage (17.65%), suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
Umeå
- Current Form: Umeå has also played 17 matches, showing a higher Both Teams To Score percentage (47.06%).
- Strengths: Their ability to score in matches is slightly better than Trelleborg, with an average of 0.76 goals per game.
- Weaknesses: Conceding 2.12 goals on average highlights defensive frailties.
Head-to-Head
Historically, Trelleborg has had the upper hand in previous encounters, leveraging their home advantage effectively.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Trelleborg
- Filip Bohman: With 3 goals this season, Bohman is a key offensive player.
- Viktor Christiansson: His contributions in midfield are crucial, having scored 2 goals.
Umeå
- Eythor Martin Bjørgolfsson: Leading the team with 6 goals, Bjørgolfsson is a significant threat.
- Teo Grönborg: His performance in defense will be vital to counter Trelleborg's attacks.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Trelleborg averages 13.18 shots per game, with 4.18 on target, while Umeå averages 10.82 shots, with 2.71 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Trelleborg's expected goals against is 1.44, compared to Umeå's 1.84, indicating a stronger defensive setup.
- Possession and Passing: Trelleborg's passing accuracy is higher, with 378.65 successful passes per game.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Trelleborg is likely to win, leveraging their home advantage and superior defensive metrics. Key factors include their ability to maintain possession and capitalize on scoring opportunities. The final score prediction is 2-1 in favor of Trelleborg, with a half-time score of 1-0. Both teams are expected to score, with a 60% probability, and there is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
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