MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming MLS match between Atlanta United and Philadelphia Union is set to be a captivating encounter. Both teams have shown strong performances this season, making this match a significant event in their respective campaigns. Atlanta United will be playing at home at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium, providing them with a familiar advantage. Scheduled for May 17th at 7:30 PM ET, this match is crucial for both teams as they aim to secure vital points in the league standings.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle. Atlanta United is slightly favored with odds of 2.22, translating to a 45% probability of winning. Philadelphia Union's odds stand at 2.96, giving them a 34% chance of victory. The draw is priced at 3.54, indicating a 28% likelihood. These odds reflect the competitive nature of the match, with both teams having a realistic chance of securing a win.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Atlanta United
Atlanta United has had a mixed season, with an average of 12 matches played. They have a decent offensive record, averaging 1.08 goals per game and a possession rate of 50.08%. However, their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.83 goals per match. Their ability to score is highlighted by their 58.33% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals.
Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union has been more consistent, averaging 1.92 goals per game and maintaining a solid defensive record with only 1 goal conceded per match. Their possession rate is slightly lower at 46.33%, but they compensate with a higher number of shots on target, averaging 5.33 per game. Their offensive prowess is evident with a 66.67% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between these two teams have been competitive, with both sides having their share of victories. Atlanta United's home advantage could play a crucial role, but Philadelphia Union's strong form this season makes them formidable opponents.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Atlanta United
- Emmanuel Latte Lath: Leading the team with 5 goals, his performance will be crucial.
- Miguel Almirón: A key playmaker with 3 goals, his creativity can unlock defenses.
Philadelphia Union
- Tai Baribo: Top scorer with 8 goals, his finishing ability is a major threat.
- Kai Wagner: With 233.91 points, his defensive skills and leadership are vital.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Atlanta United averages 11.92 shots per game, with 3.75 on target.
- Philadelphia Union averages 13.17 shots per game, with 5.33 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Atlanta United concedes 1.83 goals per game, while Philadelphia Union concedes only 1.
- Philadelphia Union has a higher interception rate at 42.92 compared to Atlanta's 38.75.
Tactical Insights
Philadelphia Union's higher successful dribbles and duels suggest a more aggressive approach, while Atlanta United's possession and passing accuracy indicate a more controlled style.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Philadelphia Union appears to have a slight edge due to their superior offensive and defensive metrics. However, Atlanta United's home advantage and key players could influence the outcome. The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams likely to score.
Final Score Prediction: Atlanta United 1-2 Philadelphia Union Half Time Score Prediction: Atlanta United 0-1 Philadelphia Union Probability of Both Teams to Score: 65% Probability of Over 2.5 Goals: 60%