MATCH OVERVIEW
The upcoming MLS match between FC Dallas and SJ Earthquakes is set to take place at Toyota Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 00:30 UTC on June 26, 2025. This encounter is crucial for both teams as they aim to solidify their positions in the league standings. Dallas, playing at home, will look to leverage their familiarity with the venue, while SJ Earthquakes aim to continue their strong form on the road.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with Dallas having a slight edge at 2.27, SJ Earthquakes at 2.79, and a draw at 3.56. These odds translate to probabilities of approximately 44% for a Dallas win, 36% for SJ Earthquakes, and 28% for a draw. The odds indicate a competitive match, with Dallas slightly favored due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Dallas
Dallas has had a mixed season, with an average of 16 matches played. They have a moderate goal-scoring record, averaging 1.13 goals per game, and a possession rate of 43.56%. Their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.63 goals per match. Dallas's strengths lie in their dribbling and interceptions, but they struggle with maintaining possession and converting chances.
SJ Earthquakes
SJ Earthquakes have been impressive, playing 17 matches with a strong offensive output of 2 goals per game. They boast a higher possession rate of 48.53% and have been effective in both scoring and defending, with a conceded goals average of 1.65. Their ability to create chances and maintain pressure through successful dribbles and crosses makes them a formidable opponent.
Head-to-Head
Historically, matches between Dallas and SJ Earthquakes have been competitive, with both teams having their share of victories. The tactical approach from SJ Earthquakes, focusing on high possession and offensive pressure, contrasts with Dallas's reliance on counter-attacks and defensive solidity.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Dallas
- Anderson Julio: With 4 goals this season, Julio is a key attacking threat.
- Petar Musa: Also contributing 4 goals, Musa's presence in the forward line is crucial.
SJ Earthquakes
- Cristian Arango: Leading the team with 9 goals, Arango is a pivotal figure in SJ Earthquakes' attack.
- Josef Martínez: With 7 goals, Martínez adds depth to their offensive capabilities.
Key Matchups
The battle between Dallas's defenders and SJ Earthquakes' forwards will be critical. Anderson Julio and Petar Musa will need to find ways to break through SJ Earthquakes' defense, while Cristian Arango and Josef Martínez will test Dallas's backline.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- Dallas: Average 9.06 shots per game, with 3.56 on target.
- SJ Earthquakes: Average 14.65 shots per game, with 5.71 on target.
Defensive Metrics
- Dallas: Concede 1.63 goals per game, with 2.81 saves.
- SJ Earthquakes: Concede 1.65 goals per game, with 3.53 saves.
Possession and Passing
- Dallas: 43.56% possession, 389.25 passes per game.
- SJ Earthquakes: 48.53% possession, 411 passes per game.
SJ Earthquakes have a statistical edge in offensive metrics, while Dallas's defensive capabilities will be tested.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, SJ Earthquakes appear to have a slight advantage due to their superior offensive metrics and possession statistics. However, Dallas's home advantage and ability to counter-attack could play a significant role.
Potential Match-Winning Factors
- Dallas: Effective counter-attacks and exploiting SJ Earthquakes' defensive gaps.
- SJ Earthquakes: Maintaining high possession and capitalizing on scoring opportunities.
Final Score Prediction
Given the statistics and form, a 2-2 draw seems likely, with both teams having the capability to score and defend effectively. The match could see a high number of goals, with both teams eager to secure points.