MATCH OVERVIEW
Nashville SC will face New York City FC in a pivotal MLS match at Nissan Stadium. This encounter is crucial for both teams as they aim to climb the league table and secure a playoff spot. Nashville SC, known for their solid home performances, will look to leverage their home advantage against a New York City side that has shown resilience away from home.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a slight edge for Nashville SC with odds of 1.85 for a home win, translating to a probability of approximately 54%. The draw is priced at 3.61, indicating a 28% chance, while New York City FC's odds of 3.9 suggest a 26% probability of an away victory. Based on these odds, Nashville SC is favored to win, but the possibility of a draw or an upset by New York City cannot be discounted.
TEAM ANALYSIS
Nashville SC
- Current Form: Nashville SC has played 15 matches this season, with a strong offensive record, averaging 1.73 goals per game.
- Strengths: High possession rate (50.13%), effective dribbling (13.4 successful dribbles per game), and solid defensive stats with only 1.13 goals conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Vulnerable to dangerous own half losses (4.27 per game).
New York City FC
- Current Form: New York City has also played 15 matches, with a slightly lower goal average of 1.2 per game.
- Strengths: Higher possession rate (52.53%), strong defensive capabilities with only 1 goal conceded per match.
- Weaknesses: Lower assist rate (0.4 per game) and susceptibility to offsides (1.07 per game).
Head-to-Head
Historically, Nashville SC has had the upper hand in home fixtures against New York City FC, leveraging their home crowd and tactical prowess.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
Nashville SC
- Hany Mukhtar: A key playmaker with 6 goals this season, Mukhtar's creativity and vision are vital for Nashville's attacking strategy.
- Sam Surridge: Leading goal scorer with 8 goals, his finishing ability is crucial for Nashville's success.
New York City FC
- Alonso Martínez: Top scorer with 8 goals, Martínez's pace and agility pose a significant threat to Nashville's defense.
- Matt Freese: A reliable goalkeeper, his shot-stopping skills will be essential in keeping Nashville's attackers at bay.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
- Offensive Metrics: Nashville SC averages 13.4 shots per game with 6.33 on target, while New York City averages 12.07 shots with 3.93 on target.
- Defensive Metrics: Nashville SC's defense is slightly more robust, conceding 1.13 goals per game compared to New York City's 1.
- Possession and Passing: Both teams exhibit strong possession stats, with New York City slightly ahead at 52.53%.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, Nashville SC is likely to edge out New York City FC in this encounter. Key factors include Nashville's home advantage and their superior offensive capabilities. However, New York City's solid defense and possession could make this a closely contested match.
Final Score Prediction
Nashville SC 2-1 New York City FC
Half Time Score Prediction
Nashville SC 1-0 New York City FC
Probability Insights
- Home Win: 54%
- Away Win: 26%
- Draw: 28%
- Both Teams to Score: 60%
- Over 2.5 Goals: 66%