MATCH OVERVIEW
St. Louis City welcomes San Diego to CityPark for a pivotal MLS clash that could shape the trajectory of their season. As the teams prepare to face off, the stakes are high, with both sides eager to secure a victory that could bolster their standings. The match is set to take place on May 11, 2025, at 00:30 UTC, providing a prime opportunity for St. Louis City to leverage their home advantage against a formidable San Diego side.
ODDS ANALYSIS
The average odds for this match suggest a closely contested battle, with St. Louis City slightly favored at 2.39, while San Diego's odds stand at 2.73, and a draw at 3.37. These odds translate to a probability of approximately 41.8% for a home win, 29.7% for an away win, and 28.5% for a draw. The odds indicate a competitive match, with St. Louis City having a slight edge due to their home advantage.
TEAM ANALYSIS
St. Louis City
St. Louis City has shown resilience this season, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per match. However, their offensive output has been less impressive, averaging just 0.7 goals per game. Their possession rate of 42.8% suggests a counter-attacking style, relying on quick transitions and set-pieces, as evidenced by their average of 4.4 corners per match.
San Diego
San Diego, on the other hand, boasts a more potent attack, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Their possession rate of 56.9% indicates a preference for controlling the game, utilizing their passing prowess with an average of 591.2 passes per match. Defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding 1.5 goals per game, which could be exploited by St. Louis City's counter-attacks.
Head-to-Head
Historically, these teams have had limited encounters, making this match an intriguing prospect. San Diego's offensive capabilities will be tested against St. Louis City's disciplined defense, setting the stage for a tactical battle.
KEY PLAYERS SPOTLIGHT
St. Louis City
- Roman Bürki: A key figure in goal, Bürki's 287.18 points highlight his importance in maintaining St. Louis City's defensive solidity.
- Cedric Teuchert: With 2 goals this season, Teuchert will be crucial in breaking down San Diego's defense.
San Diego
- Anders Dreyer: Leading the charge with 3 goals, Dreyer's form will be vital for San Diego's attacking success.
- Hirving Lozano: Known for his pace and skill, Lozano's 2 goals this season make him a threat to St. Louis City's defense.
STATISTICAL DEEP DIVE
Offensive Metrics
- St. Louis City: Averaging 10.1 shots per game, with 3.6 on target, their efficiency in front of goal needs improvement.
- San Diego: With 12.8 shots per game and 4.6 on target, San Diego's attack is more prolific, posing a significant threat.
Defensive Metrics
- St. Louis City: Their average of 41.2 interceptions per game underscores their defensive discipline.
- San Diego: Despite conceding more goals, their 28.4 interceptions per game show a proactive defensive approach.
PREDICTION AND CONCLUSION
Based on the data, San Diego's superior attacking metrics and possession suggest they might edge out St. Louis City, despite the home team's defensive strengths. Key factors will include San Diego's ability to break down St. Louis City's defense and the home team's counter-attacking potential.
Final Score Prediction
San Diego is likely to secure a narrow victory, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1. The match could see both teams scoring, given San Diego's attacking prowess and St. Louis City's counter-attacking opportunities.